Aintree Festival – Day 2 Tips

Our tactics paid off in two of the four Grade 1s yesterday, but it doesn’t look as easy to get the fancied runners beaten today.

Crabbie’s Top Novices’ Hurdle     ITV

The Crabbie’s Top Novices’ Hurdle is the first Grade 1 this afternoon and it looks to be between the front two in the market, RIVER WYLDE and Mount Mews.

River Wylde is proven at this level having run really well to finish third in the Supreme last time out, whilst Mount Mews comes here the fresher horse but is yet to encounter rivals of this calibre.

We think the track, trip and ground will suit River Wylde more, so he is given the nod in the hope that his Cheltenham exertions haven’t left a mark.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
River Wylde (win)2.20 Aintree 2/1Bet365

Mildmay Novices’ Chase     ITV

The next Grade 1 sees the rematch between the brilliant but quirky Might Bite and his ultra-consistent stablemate WHISPER. The latter loves it here having won the Liverpool Hurdle in both 2014 and 2015, and he looks the better value.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
 Whisper (win)2.50 Aintree 7/2Betfred

JLT Melling Chase     ITV

The third and final Grade 1 looks the most competitive with Queen Mother Chase form in the shape of the likes of Fox Norton, Top Gamble, Gods Own and Traffic Fluide clashing with Ryanair form.

Both TRAFFIC FLUIDE and TOP GAMBLE can been seen finishing the Queen Mother to good effect, suggesting that this step up in trip will suit them both. They look the value, whilst Gods Own is feared as he might have been an unlucky loser at Cheltenham. He seemed to be coming there to win the race when clouting the second last and immediately fading.

Uxizandre is another threat as he may get his own way out in front.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
 Traffic Fluide (ew)3.25 Aintree 16/1Bet365
 Top Gamble (ew)3.25 Aintree 20/1Betfair

Alder Hey Children’s Charity Handicap Hurdle     RUK

The three big races are sandwiched in between two fiercely contested handicaps, the second of which is run over the National fences.

First up, though, is the Alder Hey Charity Hurdle, where DASHING OSCAR could prove the one to beat. He looks to have been laid out for a crack at a decent handicap prize and the step up to 2½ miles should eek out some more improvement from Harry Fry’s lightly raced 7 year old.

There are dangers a plenty.

ZUBAYR, for example, is surely better than he has been showing recently. This should be his ground and he seems to run best on flat tracks. The longer trip today may also see him bounce back to form.

The other one to back is HAWK HIGH. We tipped this horse up at Cheltenham and he ran disappointingly in the Coral Cup. We think he is worth another chance as he seems to thrive when the ground is like this.

Others on our shortlist were Dream Berry, Mad Jack Mytton and Rather Be.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
 Dashing Oscar (ew)1.40 Aintree 20/1Stan James, Betfair
 Zubayr (ew)1.40 Aintree 20/1Stan James
 Hawk High (ew)1.40 Aintree 22/1Stan James

Topham Handicap Chase     ITV

The best spectacle of the day will be the Topham at 4.05.

As with yesterday’s Foxhunters, luck will be crucial and pretty much all of the 30 runners have a chance of making the frame.

Of the favourites, the pick could be HENRYVILLE and Go Conquer. Given his previous experience over these fences, narrow preference is for Henryville. He remains amazingly well treated over fences compared to his hurdles form.

Irish handicappers did really well at Cheltenham, so MR DIABLO has to have a chance here. He looked a new horse in the first time tongue tie last time out on heavy ground. He has always been a better animal on a sounder surface and so could improve again today.

Of the log shots, we think Bright New Dawn could be really well suited by this challenge, provided his stamina holds up, whilst GOWANAUTHAT looks way overpriced now that the ground has come in his favour.

Katnap and Ballykan are others to consider.

Both Sky Bet & Paddy Power are offering 6 places for each-way bets and Bet365 5.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
 Henryville (ew)4.05 Aintree12/1Sky Bet, Paddy Power
 Mr Diablo (ew)4.05 Aintree 20/1Bet365
 Gowanauthat (ew)4.05 Aintree 66/1Paddy Power

Our tips in the later races are:

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
 Constantine Bay (win)4.40 Aintree7/2Bet365
Ballymalin (ew)4.40 Aintree 22/1Paddy Power
If The Cap Fits (ew)4.40 Aintree 6/1Betfair
Point Of Principle (ew)5.15 Aintree 50/1Bet365
Carlos Du Fruitier (ew)5.15 Aintree 40/1Betfair