The Arc on Sunday is the highlight of a great weekend’s racing and France’s premier flat race will be run at Chantilly for a second year running whilst the redevelopment of Longchamp continues.
Prix de lArc de Triomphe
As is often the way with the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, the contest looks set to be run on testing ground with plenty of rain forecast over the weekend.
If it gets very soft, the formbook can be thrown out of the window and it will be a question of who copes best with the ground on the day. As a result, hot favourite Enable doesn’t appeal at such a short price even though she has proven herself to be one of the best fillies seen in recent years. She has also won on soft ground, but she has had a long, busy season and all in all she is worth taking on at the odds.
Ulysses is one of our favourites and he has done us plenty of good turns over the past couple of campaigns, but he would definitely prefer better ground. The trip, on this going, may also stretch his stamina.
There are also stamina doubts about Winter who won the 1,000 Guineas way back in May. She has reportedly been working well at home recently and Ryan Moore has chosen to ride her, but there are too many question marks for us and better value may lie elsewhere.
Given that the likely underfoot conditions could turn this into a real test we were slightly surprised that Moore chose Winter ahead of ORDER OF ST GEORGE. Yes Order Of St George’s best form has been over staying distances in races like the Gold Cup, but he wasn’t beaten far when third here last season and softer ground can bring him even more into the equation on Sunday. Grab some of the 12/1 on offer with Ladbrokes and Coral.
Of the Aiden O’Brien battalions he is narrowly preferred to Capri, who is also proven over further having won the St Leger recently. He hasn’t had that long to recover from those exertions and he may be better on a sounder surface. He is, though, undoubtedly improving fast at the right time for this.
Also of interest is the German raider, Dschingis Secret, who comes here in equally good form. He won one of the traditional trials for this race, the Prix Foy, proving he likes the ground and the track in the process.
However, he only beat CLOTH OF STARS by a length and a half, and that rival is more than three times the price. That is hard to understand given that Cloth Of Stars didn’t have the clearest of runs that day and was returning after a break. He should be spot on for this and trainer Andre Fabre loves to target The Arc with his better horses.
There are a couple at really big prices who could run well.
Seventh Heaven is coming back after a layoff and is surely better than she showed last time out. Prior to that she beat One Foot In Heaven at Newmarket and that rival is also interesting here.
He was sixth in this last year at a big price and there is no reason why he shouldn’t run just as well this time around. He has plenty of form on soft ground and could be worth backing each way with Betfair who are offering four places.
|Order Of St George (ew)||3.05 Chantilly||12/1||Ladbrokes, Coral|
|Cloth Of Stars (ew)||3.05 Chantilly||40/1||Ladbrokes|
Prix de L’Abbaye
Elsewhere on Sunday’s card at Chantilly, Britain and Ireland will have high hopes of landing the Prix de L’Abbaye and here we like ALPHABET for the O’Brien team. She has really improved on her last two runs and seems to relish the mud. The further step back in trip could suit and if she can break quickly from the gates she could be hard to peg back.
|Alphabet (ew)||4.35 Chantilly||14/1||Coral|