Our weekly review of the latest betting news, including early odds for Wimbledon and the new favourites to win Euro 2016 with the knock-out stages approaching.
1. Win for Murray but Raonic attracts Wimbledon cash
Andy Murray’s Wimbledon hopes were boosted by victory at the Aegon Championship on Sunday, with the Scot earning a record fifth title at Queen’s Club. Murray is second favourite to get his hands on the Wimbledon trophy for a second time and his odds have shortened slightly from 7/2 to 3/1 following his three-set win over Milos Raonic in Sunday’s final. But the big mover in the market is Raonic, who has been backed in from 25/1 to single figures in places and a best of 14/1 at Paddy Power, who have in turn eased Roger Federer’s price out to 12/1 following the Swiss star’s semi-final defeat to Alexander Zverev in Halle.
2. Rising star Keys cut for Wimbledon
Serena Williams is favourite for the women’s Wimbledon title at best odds of 13/8, but it was another American player who made an impression on punters with a fine performance last week. Madison Keys defeated Barbara Strycova to win the Aegon event in Birmingham and in doing so broke into the world’s top 10 for the first time. The 21-year-old won Sunday’s final in straight sets and as a consequence her Wimbledon odds tumbled from 25/1 to a best of 16/1 with Ladbrokes. Keys has a decent record at the All England Club, reaching the third round as a teenager in 2013 and 2014 before losing in 3 sets to Agnieszka Radwanska in last year’s quarter-finals.
3. Victorious England backed for repeat 6 Nations success
After clinching an historic series victory over Australia in Saturday’s second Test in Melbourne, England are already being well backed to win next year’s 6 Nations, with most bookmakers cutting their prices over the weekend. Coral and BetVictor are currently standing firm and offer Eddie Jones’ side as the 11/8 favourites, but that price will come under pressure as the enormity of England’s achievement in claiming a first series win Down Under sinks in. Having won the opening Test match 39-28 in Syndey, England were magnificent as they won the second Test 23-7, particularly in their resolute defensive performance, which saw them repel attack after attack from the Wallabies on home soil.
4. Betting continues to point to Remain success
With just days to go before the EU Referendum in the UK, the market is increasingly confident that the Remain side will win. Since mid-May the odds on Leave had tumbled from 4/1 to as short as 7/5, with polls last week putting an EU exit in the lead. Then came the tragic events of last Thursday, with aggressive campaigning replaced by a sombre and more reflective mood following the murder of the Labour MP Jo Cox. It is interesting that since then the odds for a turnout of 70% or more have fallen from 11/10 to just 4/5 with Bet365. A 70% turnout would be considerably higher than at any of the last four General Elections, with a larger turnout anticipated to be a boost for the Remain vote as it mobilises support from younger voters. A victory for Remain is now 4/11 with Bet365, while Betfred are offering the best price of 12/5 for Leave.
5. Spain the new favourites for Euro 2016
Back-to-back Euro 2008 and Euro 2012 winners Spain are now the 10/3 favourites to make it three in a row having produced, by some distance, the best performance of the championship so far when beating Turkey 3-0 on Friday. Vicente del Bosque’s men had dominated the Czechs in their 1-0 win last Monday, with Andres Iniesta pulling the strings, but came up against a man equally inspired in Petr Cech. After finding their finishing touch against Turkey, the pre-tournament 11/2 third favourites have edged ahead of France in the betting, with the hosts now 4/1 with 888sport, despite finishing top of Group A. Italy have also been cut in the betting with our pre-tournament 18/1 tips now available at best odds of just 12/1 with Paddy Power.