Last week our Champions League Quarter Finals first leg tips included Juventus to beat Moncaco 1-0 at 4/1, Porto to beat Bayern Munich at 4/1 and Porto to win 3-1 at a whopping 50/1. We don’t expect to top that, but here are our second leg tips.
Barcelona v PSG
|Yes||Both Teams To Score||8/13||Betfred|
|Over 2.5||Total Goals||4/9||Bet365|
|Neymar (ew)||First Goalscorer||5/1||Paddy Power|
|Barcelona 4-1||Correct Score||19/1||BetVictor|
|Barcelona 5-1||Correct Score||40/1||BetVictor|
Barcelona look home and hosed in their quarter final Champions League game against PSG – they are 1/100 to qualify – following their 3-1 win in Paris last week.
PSG have only won one Champions League game in Spain, but they have scored in each of those four games, and given they need goals here to progress we feel that backing both teams to score at 8/13 with Betfred may be the best bet on offer here, although we would also consider backing ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ as well at 4/9 with Bet365.
Neymar has scored in each of his three Champions League games against PSG and with most bets on the First Goalscorer market likely to be on Messi (best odds of 7/2 with Ladbrokes), we think the odds of 5/1 on Neymar with Paddy Power are a little bigger than they should be – back him each-way (1/3 odds for the ‘place’ – if your player scores any of the first 5 goals).
Finally, we suggest backing a couple of high scoring Barca wins at big prices – 4-1 is available at best odds of 19/1, while it’s 40/1 for the 5-1 – both with BetVictor.
Bayern Munich v Porto
|Yes||Both Teams To Score||Evens||Paddy Power, BetVictor|
|Porto 2-1||Correct Score||28/1||Betfred|
|Porto 3-1||Correct Score||100/1||Betfred|
|Robert Lewandowski||First Goalscorer||7/2||Paddy Power|
This fixture is in the balance with Porto having won 3-1 in the first leg, tipped by us at 50/1. Despite being two goals down coming into this game, Bayern Munich are just Evens to qualify with Paddy Power and Sky Bet (odds-on elsewhere).
Although plenty think Bayern will still progress into the semi’s we are not too sure, as this Porto side have been underestimated throughout the tournament – indeed they are the only quarter finalists who have yet to lose in this season’s competition.
We certainly fancy both teams to score here – a best priced Evens with Paddy Power and BetVictor – and we think that backing the 2-1 and 3-1 Porto wins at 28/1 and 100/1 respectively (both Betfred) may not be the worst bets at big odds – especially as that firm refund losing Correct Score bets on all televised games that finish 1-1.
Finally, let’s back Robert Lewandowski to score first here at 7/2 with Paddy Power.
Monaco v Juventus
|Monaco||To Qualify||9/2||Sky Bet|
|Monaco 1-0||Correct Score||7/1||William Hill|
|Monaco 2-0||Correct Score||16/1||William Hill|
Juventus won the first leg 1-0 in Italy, so this quarter final is far from over, despite the bookies making Juventus an extremely short price to qualify (the best odds you’ll get are 2/11 with Ladbrokes).
We actually think that backing Monaco at best odds of 9/2 with Sky Bet to progress is a decent price – let’s not forget that should this game end 1-0 to the home team, they will have extra time and penalties in front of a partisan crowd – and although they have to overcome a one goal deficit, that does seem to offer us a little value.
But Monaco could also beat them in 90 minutes to qualify – don’t forget they have kept clean sheets in three of their last four Champions League fixtures at home. We can see them keeping another one here and you can back that happening at 23/10 with Betfred, while we also like the 1-0 home win at 7/1 and 2-0 at 16/1, both with William Hill, who refund losing Correct Score bets on all games that finish 0-0.
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
|Atletico Madrid||To Qualify||11/8||Betfred|
|Under 2.5||Total Goals||17/20||BetVictor|
|Draw||60 Minutes Betting||6/4||William Hill.|
After a 0-0 first leg result, the layers believe it will be Real progressing through from this all Madrid quarter final (4/6 with Bet365) at the Bernabeu, but we feel that a goalless result was a good one for Atletico and suggest you back them at odds of 11/8 with Betfred ‘to qualify’, as a score draw would be enough for the visitors.
Atletico have not lost to Real in any of their seven meetings this season and Diego Simeone’s men are very strong defensively. Indeed, they have kept a clean sheet in seven of their last eight games in this competition.
With this in mind, we also believe that backing ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ at 17/20 with BetVictor could be the way forward, plus we recommend backing the 0-0 at 11/1 with BetVictor and a draw at the 60th minute mark at 6/4 with William Hill.
Finally, although we don’t anticipate many goals, it is worth noting that Winner are offering new customers enhanced odds of 4/1 on ‘Both Teams To Score’ here.