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England v Iceland Betting Preview

ITV1 Monday 27th June / 8pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Iceland1X215/2Bet365
Iceland (+1)Asian Handicap6/7Unibet
1-1Correct Score15/2Bet365
England 1-0Correct Score4/1William Hill
Iceland 1-0Correct Score16/1William Hill
Gylfi SigurdssonFirst Goalscorer16/1Sky Bet
Gary CahillFirst Goalscorer33/1Paddy Power

Since 1966 England have only beaten six teams in a major tournament knockout game (Paraguay 86, Belgium & Cameroon 90, Spain 96, Denmark 02 & Ecuador 06).

Indeed, just three of those six games were won in regular time, with Belgium and Cameroon overcome in extra time, and Spain on penalties.

Yet Roy Hodgson’s side are no bigger than the 4/7 with Bet365 to win this Last 16 match in 90 minutes, against a side ranked no. 34 in the FIFA World Rankings.

We don’t think that those odds reflect how difficult this will be for England, who have struggled to break down sides defending in numbers against them here.

Iceland were unbeaten in Group F, drawing 1-1 with both Portugal and Hungary, before beating a decent Austrian side 2-1, courtesy of a 94th minute winner.

Remember also that Iceland beat the Netherlands 2-0 and 1-0 in qualification for Euro 2016, and beat the Czech Republic 2-1 at home (losing 2-1 away).

So, we think that their odds of 15/2 with Bet365 are worth taking, while we also suggest backing them on the Asian Handicap with a goal start at 6/7 with Unibet.

With this bet you collect if Iceland win or draw and get refunded if they lose by 1.

Without that late, late winner against Austria, all three Iceland games would have finished 1-1, while England have scored 3 goals in 3 games, so back another 1-1 at 15/2 with Bet365 (who refund losing Correct Score bets on matches that end 0-0).

But we also recommend backing both 1-0’s at odds of 4/1 and 16/1 at William Hill.

England’s last four knockout matches at Euro Finals have gone to penalties (losing the last three) and you can back England to win on penalties at 11/1, or Iceland at 12/1, again with William Hill.

Swansea’s Gylfi Sigurdsson, who scored all three Iceland goals against the Dutch in qualifying and also against Hungary here, is 16/1 with Sky Bet to score first.

For England, Gary Cahill went close a number of times at set-pieces in the group stage and he appeals at best odds of 33/1 to score first with Paddy Power.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Iceland1X215/2Bet365
Iceland (+1)Asian Handicap6/7Unibet
1-1Correct Score15/2Bet365
England 1-0Correct Score4/1William Hill
Iceland 1-0Correct Score16/1William Hill
Gylfi SigurdssonFirst Goalscorer16/1Sky Bet
Gary CahillFirst Goalscorer33/1Paddy Power