FA Cup Final 2016 Betting Preview

BBC1 Saturday 21st May / 5.30pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Manchester United1X23/4Paddy Power
Under 2.5Total Goals3/5Bet365
Manchester United 1-0Correct Score5/1Paddy Power
Manchester United 2-0Correct Score7/1BetVictor
Marcus Rashford (ew)First Goalscorer11/2Bet365

Manchester United are hoping to win their first trophy since Alex Ferguson’s departure in 2013, in this repeat of the 1990 FA Cup Final against Crystal Palace.

United beat Palace 2-0 at Old Trafford last month with 66% of possession, and they are likely to have the lion’s share of the ball once again, although that could benefit the Eagles who are a very counter attacking side, with plenty of pace.

But, given that United have won 13 and lost none of their last 16 league games against Palace, we cannot reasonably suggest anything other than backing United to win in 90 minutes at best odds of 3/4 with Paddy Power – who are also offering customers a free £10 In-Play bet on the final, if you place a £20 pre-match bet.

Alan Pardew was actually in the last Palace side to beat United in the league – 3-0 on the final game of the 1990/91 season, and they have failed to score more than one goal (in 90 minutes) in 17 of their subsequent 18 meetings (all competitions).

More recently, Palace have only scored one goal in their last six games against United and given that United won 1-0 eight times in the league this season (5 of their last 11) and that FA Cup Final’s tend to be low scoring (5 of the last 9 have finished 1-0) we recommend backing Under 2.5 Goals at 3/5 with Bet365 and also United winning the final 1-0 and 2-0 at the best odds of 5/1 and 7/1 respectively.

Both teams scored in just 5 of the last 22 FA Cup final’s (23%), while 13 of the last 21 (62%) finished either 1-0 or 2-0, as did 27 of the last 54 (50%) including replays.

If you think we are wrong, you could always back a repeat of the blockbuster 1990 final scoreline – BetVictor are offering the best odds of 110/1 on another 3-3.

It’s surprising to note that Wayne Rooney has yet to win an FA Cup, and having notched up a century of league goals at Old Trafford earlier in the week against Bournemouth, he’ll be hoping to add to his 21 FA Cup goal tally on Saturday.

The trouble with backing him to score first is that we are not sure where he will start – it may well be that he plays a midfield role – and at the same price of 11/2 with Bet365 we much prefer Marcus Rashford scoring the first goal of the game.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Manchester United1X23/4Paddy Power
Under 2.5Total Goals3/5Bet365
Manchester United 1-0Correct Score5/1Paddy Power
Manchester United 2-0Correct Score7/1BetVictor
Marcus Rashford (ew)First Goalscorer11/2Bet365