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Galway Festival 2016 – Day 2 Ramblings

Welcome to Day 2 of the Galway Festival – a mixed bag on Day 1, but the injuries and poor runs were balanced out with 12/1 tip Flying Fairies finishing third to bag the place money (SP 9/2) and 25/1 Swamp Fox winning the days big one (SP 16/1).

COLM QUINN BMW Novice Hurdle     ATR

A little novice hurdle gets us underway on Tuesday and Henry De Bromhead trains the winner in the shape of the favourite, THREE WISE MEN. I encourage all of you, to show that you too are wise men, or women, and mop up the 2/1 that is on offer around the place before it ends up like the Dodo. This horse was third at Punchestown last time out in only his second run over hurdles, and the standard of that race is an awful lot better than here. Oathkeeper for AP O’Brien is the danger ahead of Willie’s Penhill but they are fighting for 2nd, with all due respect.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Three Wise Men (win)5.15 Galway2/1Boylesports, Betfair

Latin Quarter Beginners Chase     ATR

Next up is a beginner’s steeplechase. If you are ever thinking of having a bet in a race like this, then you need to urgently contact a mental health professional. The favourite here is Briar Hill. He won the Cheltenham Bumper back in 2013, before falling a year later at the same track. He hasn’t been the same since and all runs last year were abysmal. If he showed any sort of form and is able to jump, he’d lap these but that’s two big ifs. If you are a compulsive gambler or just happen to be drunk and need to have a bet, then throw a few coins each-way on Theos Well.

COLM QUINN BMW E.B.F. Fillies Maiden     ATR

As we encountered yesterday, it’s a DK Weld v AP O’Brien dual in a maiden and Mr Weld has the favourite. It’s impossible to see why Eziyra wouldn’t be favourite after his second in Tipperary last time out. I’m not going to catch any splinters in my derrière from the fence here though, I am just going to say that she simply wasn’t allowed to win the last day. The jockey that day, Leigh Roche, had a feather instead of a whip, and even at that, he didn’t make one single effort to use it. All that being said, I am not going to be tipping odds-on maiden shots at Galway.

John Oxx, has a horse running here named MAGENS MOON. I saw this horse run last time out and the shamrock tattoo on St Patrick’s backside isn’t as green as she was that day. That aside, she ran a lovely race to finish fourth and I thought she would win next time out. This is a hot race but the William Hill and Bet365 traders must have a death wish going 12/1 on her here. Gobble it up each-way.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Magens Moon (ew)6.15 Galway12/1William Hill, Bet365

Caulfield Industrial E.B.F. Maiden     ATR

Another maiden up here and once again we find a Weld favourite – this time however, it is Jim Bolger who opposes and not O’Brien. Leave them at it though people, this is not a race for punting.

COLM QUINN BMW Mile Handicap     ATR

The big race of the day is the €120,000 flat handicap run over a mile. I detest this race – the standard over the last few years has been desperate and you wouldn’t believe a horse as good as Timarida won it back in 1995.

There is no standout horse this year, judging by the wide open betting of 7/1 the field. Betting aside however, there is a standout horse – TOP NOTCH TONTO is a previous group 3 winner, and group 1 runner-up, who loves soft ground.

The drops were falling in Galway this evening and this boy is a must back, each way at 20/1 with 5 places. We are taking a chance that he needs to regain some form of old but even 70% of what he was capable of, will see him bang there. Of the others, I can see Ringside Humour and Gussy Goose being the main dangers.

Prediction:

1st Top Notch Tonto (20/1 Bet365)
2nd Ringside Humour (16/1 Bet365)
3rd Gussy Goose (16/1 Betfair)

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Top Notch Tonto (ew)7.20 Galway20/1Bet365

Caulfield Industrial Handicap     ATR

It’s groundhog day again, as we encounter another Weld jolly in Malinka. It isn’t hard to see why however, as last time out she won her maiden in only her second ever start and makes her handicap debut here. The rain softened ground won’t be a hindrance either but dropping back 4.5 furlongs may not be ideal and at relatively short odds of 3/1 we will take her on.

The horse we will back each-way is BAINNE, and let’s hope we milk the bookies dry with this one (bainne being the Irish for milk for my English readers, or for those Irish people who don’t know Irish, thanks to our English friends).

Beat the Ballot is the other horse I like the look of in a very wide open race.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Bainne (ew)7.50 Galway10/1BetVictor

Caulfieldindustrial.com Handicap     ATR

The lucky last wasn’t so lucky for us, or our tip, here on Monday. Sizing Knockeen was injured before the final bend and was pulled up. Hopefully both parties live to fight another day, but I’d be fairly confident that there is more hope for us.

Tony Martin has the favourite in Artful Artist in this one, but the fact that he is as honest as Dick Turpin makes me swerve him at all costs. I like a horse called AUTOMATED, who was a reserve for the big race on Monday, without getting a run. He flopped the last time out, but if he finds his old form and stays this trip, 9/1 is pure madness. Get on this boy each-way, to send us to the pub smiling.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Automated (ew)8.20 Galway9/1Bet365, Paddy Power