Below we preview both of this week’s televised Capital One Cup Quarter-final’s, starting with Everton’s trip to the Riverside Stadium to face Boro on Tuesday night.
Middlesbrough v Everton
Tuesday 1st December / 7.45pm
|No Goalscorer||First Goalscorer||9/1||Betfred, William Hill|
|Middlesbrough||To Win To Nil||9/2||Sky Bet|
|Ross Barkley||Score/Win Double||11/2||Paddy Power|
Middlesbrough moved back into the automatic promotion places with their 2-0 win at Huddersfield on Saturday, where they kept their ninth clean sheet in 18 league games this season – the joint best record in the Championship.
Defence is Boro’s key strength, as they tend to play with Dave Nugent as a lone striker, supported by Albert Adomah and Diego Fabbrini. Nugent, however, hasn’t started any of Boro’s four League Cup ties this season, with Kike or Christian Stuani preferred. Stuani is the club’s top scorer in all competitions with seven and the Uruguayan is best price 7/1 with Bet365 to open the scoring.
Since losing 1-0 at the Riverside to Bristol City in August, Aitor Karanka’s side are unbeaten at home, winning seven of their eight games and conceding only one goal. Despite Everton’s obvious attacking prowess, the No Goalscorer odds of 9/1 on offer from Betfred and William Hill hold plenty of appeal, particularly as Middlesbrough held Manchester United to a goalless draw over 120 minutes in the previous round.
It should also be remembered that Boro knocked Manchester City out of last season’s FA Cup with a 2-0 victory, so we suggest backing them to win to nil at best odds of 9/2 with Sky Bet. Everton’s recent history in this competition is littered with failures away from home, with defeats at Swansea, Fulham, Leeds and Brentford in four of the last five seasons, so we also like the look of Boro to qualify at 11/10.
Everton have scored 14 goals in their last four games, but they limped past Norwich on penalties in the previous round and they will find it tough to break Boro down. Their best hope may be the in-form Ross Barkley, who has scored nine goals in 23 games for club and country this season, including three in the last two. Barkley to score and Everton to win is a stand-out 11/2 with Paddy Power (just 4/1 elsewhere).
Southampton v Liverpool
Tuesday 2nd December / 7.45pm
|Philippe Coutinho||First Goalscorer||9/1||Bet365|
|Philippe Coutinho||Anytime Goalscorer||19/5||Stan James|
|Liverpool||Match Result & Both Teams To Score||19/4||Stan James|
|Liverpool 2-1||Correct Score||23/2||Unibet|
|Liverpool 3-1||Correct Score||27/1||Unibet|
Wednesday’s televised Quarter-final brings together two teams with similar records in the Premier League this season. Liverpool hold a three-point advantage over the Saints, but the two sides drew 1-1 at Anfield five weeks ago in Jurgen Klopp’s first home league game. The key here could be Liverpool’s dramatic improvement away from home. Beaten only once on the road this season, Klopp’s side have won 3-1 at Chelsea and 4-1 at Manchester City since a draw at Spurs in his first game in charge.
Liverpool excelled in both of those victories and if Klopp sticks to the same philosophy of a quick and dynamic front three of Philippe Coutinho, Roberto Firmino and Adam Lallana they could get a lot of joy against a Southampton side which has been beaten three times at home already this season. Coutinho has been the main beneficiary of Klopp’s system, scoring three times in those two wins at Chelsea and City and he should be fit to return after missing the last two games with a hamstring injury. At 9/1 with Bet365, he looks a big price to score the opening goal, or he can be backed at a massive 19/5 with Stan James to score in 90 minutes.
With Jordan Henderson also fit again after a long injury absence, Liverpool are looking much stronger than they did in the latter stages of Brendan Rodgers’ reign and we like the look of them at 15/8 to win in 90 minutes – the main note of caution is that Klopp picked a much-changed side for the previous round (vs Bournemouth).
Southampton were in great form prior to losing their last two games against Stoke and Manchester City, and before drawing a blank against the Potters they had scored at least twice in six successive home games. They caused City plenty of problems on Saturday and have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches – so we can see both sides scoring on Wednesday night (7/8 with Unibet).
Following the logic through, we recommend backing Liverpool to win 2-1 and 3-1, with Unibet also offering stand-out odds of both of those scorelines, while Liverpool to win and Both Teams to Score is a best price of 19/4 with Stan James.
League Cup Outright Betting
|Manchester City||Evens||BetVictor, Paddy Power, Betfred|
|Hull||50/1||Bet365, BetVictor, Paddy Power|