Liverpool v Villarreal Betting Preview

BT Sport Europe Thursday 5th May / 8.05pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
LiverpoolTo Qualify7/5Unibet
1-1Correct Score6/1Bet365
Liverpool 2-0Correct Score15/2Unibet
Liverpool 3-0Correct Score14/1BetVictor
Adam Lallana (ew)First Goalscorer8/1Bet365
Philippe CoutinhoAnytime Goalscorer12/5Unibet

Liverpool must overturn a 1-0 deficit to reach the Europa League final and so even a 2-1, 3-2, 4-3 (etc) home win would see Villarreal progress, on away goals.

Therefore, if the visitors score at Anfield on Thursday, Liverpool must score at least three times and Jurgen Klopp’s side are as big as 7/5 with Unibet ‘to qualify’, despite being odds-on (3/4 with Betfair) to win the match.

Another intense Anfield atmosphere will surely lift the home side again, with wins over Manchester United (2-0) and Dortmund (4-3) here already this campaign.

But Liverpool have drawn 7 of their 13 Europa League games this season (five 1-1’s, two 0-0’s) and will face a dogged Spanish defence that has not conceded a goal in their last three matches, since a 3-0 defeat at the Bernabeu last month.

Thus, we suggest taking those odds of 7/5, with a saver on the 1-1 at 6/1 with Bet365, who refund losing Correct Score bets on all games that end 0-0.

However, given that Liverpool have won their last seven home second leg ties in European semi-finals, conceding just one goal in that time, we also like 2-0 and 3-0 home wins at best odds of 15/2 and 14/1 respectively.

Despite scoring 5 goals in Liverpool’s last 7 league games, it is far from certain that Daniel Sturridge will start on Thursday, with Adam Lallana and Roberto Firmino both having been rested at the Liberty Stadium on Saturday.

Lallana has looked sharp of late, with three goals in Liverpool’s last six league games here at Anfield, and he is a stand-out 8/1 with Bet365 to open the scoring.

Finally, Philippe Coutinho scored against both Manchester United and Borussia Dortmund in the previous two rounds and is 12/5 with Unibet to score here.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
LiverpoolTo Qualify7/5Unibet
1-1Correct Score6/1Bet365
Liverpool 2-0Correct Score15/2Unibet
Liverpool 3-0Correct Score14/1BetVictor
Adam Lallana (ew)First Goalscorer8/1Bet365
Philippe CoutinhoAnytime Goalscorer12/5Unibet