Malaysian Grand Prix 2015 Tips

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Felipe NasrPoints Finish2/1Bet365, BetVictor, Coral, William Hill
Marcus EricssonTop 6 Finish10/1BetVictor
Under 8 SecsWinning Margin10/11Sky Bet

BBC1 skysports-f1 Sunday 29th March / 8am

After an exciting and unpredictable start to the season in Australia, the grid form up again at Sepang this weekend, and the race winner market looks pretty much a dead book already after Lewis Hamilton put himself on pole again.

The bookies have reacted by pricing up the Englishman at odds of just 2/7 to win the Malaysian Grand Prix and with each way terms of ¼ odds for top 2 with most firms, the options to oppose him that way look limited also.

Sebastian Vettel has been strong all week and the Ferrari looks the clear front runner in the race without Mercedes, and he could even cling on to their coat tails here potentially. Kimi Raikkonen missing out on the Q3 has left Vettel with a pretty easy looking task to pick up the scraps relatively unopposed. Odds of 8/13 about him winning ‘Without Mercedes’ are fair but not big enough to warrant a bet.

So it’s down to what happens in the midfield if we want to try to profit from the race, and the price that leaps off the page is the 2/1 about Felipe Nasr scoring a second haul of points in as many races. Nasr struggled to get comfortable in the car, and missed out on Q2 as a result, but the power of the Ferrari engine should give him every chance of recovering from that effort – indeed, both Saubers started impressively off the grid in Australia and the long run to the first corner in Malaysia should help the Brazilian profit from that characteristic.

Staying with the Sauber’s, a speculative outside punt on Marcus Ericsson finishing inside the top 6 could be worth a shot at stand-out odds of 10/1 with BetVictor. He probably doesn’t have the pace to beat either Mercedes, Ferrari or Red Bull, but could be battling just behind that pack, and the threat of adverse weather could give him a chance of picking up a decent finish if those in front suffer any misfortune.

In the sub markets, we fancy a tight finish, and the 10/11 on offer with about the winning margin coming in under 8 seconds appeals. The threat to the power units giving up as the season goes on means that managed tune downs in the final laps are a near certainty, and Mercedes could well be streets ahead, and finishing in formation. Take the 10/11 with Sky Bet is the advice.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Felipe NasrPoints Finish2/1Bet365, BetVictor, Coral, William Hill
Marcus EricssonTop 6 Finish10/1BetVictor
Under 8 SecsWinning Margin10/11Sky Bet