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Midweek Champions League Tips

Both Arsenal and Manchester City are staring down the barrel of a Champions League exit – our Champions League tips for all four midweek games are below.

Monaco v Arsenal

ITV1  Tuesday 17th March / 7.45pm

Arsenal6/5Betfred, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes, William Hill

Having lost 3-1 at the Emirates in the first leg, Arsenal are now available at 6/1 with Bet365 to qualify for the next stage of the Champions League (Monaco are a best price of 1/7 with BetVictor).

As those odds reflect, it’s a tall order for the Gunners to turn this tie around; Monaco have won an impressive 18 of 24 Champions League games at the State Louis-II,  while they haven’t conceded a single goal in their three Champions League home games this season. With that firmly in mind we feel Coral’s 5/2 on a home win is an excellent value bet. Interestingly, Arsene Wenger has yet to win a game against his old side since managing Arsenal (in seven attempts).

Dimitar Berbatov scored in North London and the former Spurs’ man looks a big price at 8/1 with Paddy Power to score first here, while we also suggest backing him to score at any time at 5/2 with Paddy Power.

Finally, given that Arsenal need to score three goals without answer to get through, we feel that backing Over 2.5 Goals at 4/5 with SkyBet is a fair price given the way game may be played.

Atletico Madrid v Bayer Leverkusen

SkySports1  Tuesday 17th March / 7.45pm

Athletico Madrid5/6BetVictor
Bayer Leverkusen17/4Bet365

Atletico Madrid, last year’s beaten finalists, are 1-0 down after the first leg in Germany and the layers make them the outsiders to qualify when the teams meet at Vicente Calderon – the best price you’ll get is 6/5, with Leverkusen available at 7/10 – both with Bet365.

We expect this game to be a tight low scoring affair – Atletico have failed to score in their last 205 minutes in the Champions League, while they have only conceded one goal in their last eight Champions League games at the Calderon. So, we suggest taking 4/6 on this game being an Under 2.5 Goal affair with Bet365.

Mario Mandzukic has scored four goals in his last two Champions League games at the stadium and he is a decent shout at 7/2 with BetVictor to score first here.

Hakan Calhanoglu has had 11 shots on target in this competition – only Cristiano Ronaldo (20) and Lionel Messi (15) have had than his total – and we strongly suggest backing him to score the first goal at 14/1 with BetVictor, while he also worth backing at a huge 7/1 with Unibet to score at any time (as short as 3/1 elsewhere).

Barcelona v Manchester City

SS5  Wednesday 18th March / 7.45pm

Man City7/1BetVictorCoral

Man City travel to the Nou Camp knowing they have to score at least two more goals than Barcelona to progress through to the Champions League quarter-finals – and with BetVictor offering odds of 10/1 on City qualifying (Barca are 1/20) you can see how difficult their task will be.

One angle here is to back a red card to be brandished to a City player. No less than three players from City have been sent off against Barcelona in their last three meetings, and many will be tempted by SkyBet’s 9/4 on another red card to be shown in this match. However, instead, we recommend backing a City player specifically to be shown a red card at 10/3 with Paddy Power.

Also, with it being three City defenders that have been showed red (Demichelis, Zabaleta and Clichy) we also suggest a speculative flutter on a card to be shown (of either colour) to Martin Demichelis at 5/4 with BetVictor. He has looked out of sorts of late, is sure to be under pressure for large parts of the game and is prone to the odd lunge.

Luis Suarez has now scored five goals in just nine career Champions League games – four in four for Barca – and he just has to be backed at a huge 5/1 with William Hill to score first (especially as that firm refunds losing First Goalscorer bets, if your player scores second).

Lionel Messi has to be backed too at what looks a big price of 10/3 to score the first goal with William Hill – again with that saver if he scores second. The Argentine genius has scored 39 goals in 42 Champions League games at the Nou Camp.

Dortmund v Juventus

SkySports1  Wednesday 18th March / 7.45pm

Dortmund5/4Bet365, BetfredWilliam Hill

This last sixteen Champions League encounter is finely balanced with Juve taking a 2-1 lead to the Signal Iduna Park. The bookmakers though strongly favour Juventus qualifying – the best price you’ll get is BetVictor’s 4/7 – but with Dortmund returning with that all important away goal from the first leg, it’s the Germans we suggest backing to qualify at a best 13/8 with Coral.

However, it must be noted that Dortmund find it difficult to keep clean sheets against this opposition – in fact, they have failed to do so on all eight competitive matches against the Italian giants. But, they do tend to win in front of their own fans in this competition – as 11 wins from 14 games in this competition demonstrate.

With Dortmund having failed to score only once in their last 19 Champions League outings at home we feel that backing Both Teams To Score at a best 5/6 with BetVictor looks a smart move.

Marco Reus has scored five goals in his last four Champions League games and we recommend backing him to score first here at 15/2 with BetVictor, while we also like the 23/10 on him scoring at any time with the same firm.

Finally, Ciro Immobile has scored in each of his three home games in the Champions League this season and he too should be backed to score at 2/1 with BetVictor.