We preview all four televised Premier League games during the New Year weekend, including Tottenham’s visit to Goodison Park to face Everton on Sunday afternoon.
West Ham v Liverpool
Saturday 2nd January / 12.45pm
|West Ham||1X2||3/1||Betfair, BetVictor, Coral|
|West Ham (+0.5)||Asian Handicap||9/10||BetVictor|
|Over 2.5||Total Goals||8/7||888sport|
|Yes||Both Teams To Score||10/11||William Hill|
|West Ham 3-1||Correct Score||40/1||Bet365|
|West Ham 3-2||Correct Score||55/1||888sport|
Liverpool won the final Premier League game of 2015 in Sunderland on Wednesday evening and contest the first game of 2016 at Upton Park on Saturday lunchtime.
Jurgen Klopp surely won’t appreciate another away game so soon after that 1-0 win.
The Reds may have won their last two matches, but they have only scored twice in their last three games and have yet to win 3 successive league games this season.
The Hammers ended a long winless run on Monday by beating Southampton 2-1 here – they had drawn their previous 5 league games and won none of their last 8.
West Ham won the reverse fixture 3-0 at Anfield back in August and also won this fixture last season (3-1) – but they are available at huge looking odds of 3/1 to win.
We recommend snapping that up, plus backing them on the Asian Handicap getting a 0.5 goal start at 9/10 with BetVictor, where you win if they win or draw the game.
This game invariably sees goals – the last five results between these sides here have been 3-1, 1-2, 2-3 3-1 and 2-3 – so we suggest backing Over 2.5 Goals at best odds of 8/7 with 888sport and Both Teams to Score at best price 10/11 with William Hill.
Given that we fancy the Hammers to win, plus plenty of goals, we also suggest a bet on both 3-1 and 3-2 home wins at best odds of 40/1 and 55/1 respectively.
Watford v Manchester City
Saturday 2nd January / 5.30pm
|Under 2.5||Total Goals||6/5||Betfair, 888sport|
|Watford 1-0||Correct Score||16/1||Bet365|
|Man City 1-0||Correct Score||8/1||Bet365|
|Odion Ighalo (ew)||First Goalscorer||13/2||Paddy Power|
|Troy Deney (ew)||First Goalscorer||8/1||Bet365, Paddy Power|
Watford more than held their own against Tottenham here on Monday, despite being reduced to ten men for the last half-hour, and were unlucky to go down to a dramatic late winner – while they beat Liverpool 3-0 in their previous home game.
Meanwhile, Manchester City are struggling away from home – they are without a win in their last six away league games (D3, L3), scoring just twice in those matches.
Nonetheless, bookmakers have City as odds-on favourites at no bigger than 8/11, while the Hornets can be backed at 17/4 and the draw at 16/5 – both at BetVictor.
Given City’s current difficulties in scoring away from home and that Watford have only conceded eight goals in ten league games at Vicarage Road this season, we suggest backing Under 2.5 Goals at a best price of 6/5 with Betfair or 888sport.
Let’s also back both 1-0s with Bet365, who refund losing Correct Score bets on all games that finish 0-0 – which was a nice saver for the televised games in-between Boxing Day and New Year that featured a total of just one goal (0-0, 0-0 and 0-1).
Odion Ighalo (who has now scored in six successive games) and Troy Deney have scored 20 of Watford’s 24 league goals this season – back them both to score first.
Crystal Palace v Chelsea
Sunday 3rd January / 1.30pm
|Crystal Palace (+0.5)||Asian Handicap||8/9||BetVictor|
|Under 2.5||Total Goals||8/11||Sportingbet|
|Crystal Palace 1-0||Correct Score||10/1||Bet365|
|Chelsea 1-0||Correct Score||6/1||Bet365|
|Bakary Sako (ew)||First Goalscorer||10/1||Bet365|
Fifth placed Palace take on 14th placed Chelsea at home, yet it is Chelsea who are favourites at best odds of 11/10, while the Eagles can be backed at as big as 3/1.
The Blues have only won one league game on the road so far this season (D3, L5) and so there is no way that they should be backed at such a short price here.
Palace won the reverse fixture at Stamford Bridge 2-1 in August and we recommend backing them to win at 3/1, and on the Asian Handicap with a 0.5 goal start at 8/9.
Alan Pardew’s fine away record since arriving at Palace (W11, D2, L4) has received plenty of attention, but this season his side are third in a table based only on home results, despite playing a game less than the two sides with better home records.
They have conceded just nine goals in those nine home games, while Chelsea have scored just eight times away from Stamford Bridge and so few goals are anticipated.
Indeed, Palace have played in two consecutive 0-0 draws and Chelsea also drew their last game 0-0 – so we suggest backing Under 2.5 Goals here at best price 8/11.
On that basis, once again we suggest backing both teams to win 1-0 with Bet365, with that refund of losing bets if it ends 0-0.
Finally, Bakary Sako scored the first goal when these sides met in August and looks worth backing to repeat the trick at a stand-out 10/1 with Bet365 (8/1 elsewhere).
Everton v Tottenham
Sunday 3rd January / 4pm
|Yes||Both Teams To Score||13/20||Betfair|
|Harry Kane (ew)||First Goalscorer||9/2||Paddy Power|
|Romelu Lukaku (ew)||First Goalscorer||9/2||Paddy Power|
|Everton 2-1||Correct Score||10/1||Bet365|
|Tottenham 2-1||Correct Score||10/1||Bet365|
Everton have conceded far more home goals than any other Premier League side this season (19), but they have also scored the second highest at home (22).
The Blues, who have lost their last two games at Goodison Park 2-3 and 3-4, have scored in each of their last 10 league games, while Spurs have scored in their last 8 league away games – you can back Both Teams To Score at 13/20 with Betfair.
Let’s also keep things simple and back each side’s in-form striker to score the first goal – Harry Kane (10 goals in his last 10 league games) and Romelu Lukaku (8 goals in his last 7 games at Goodison) are both available at odds of 9/2 with Paddy Power.
Finally, with 6 of the last 13 games between these clubs finishing either 2-1, 1-2 or 2-2, we suggest backing all three scorelines. Both 2-1 Correct Scores are available at best odds of 10/1 with Bet365, while the 2-2 is a best price of 13/1 with BetVictor.