Premier League 2017-18 Betting Preview

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Manchester CityPremier League Winners15/8Bet365, Paddy Power
TottenhamTop 4 Finish10/11BetVictor
Alexandre Lacazette (ew)Top Goalscorer12/1Bet365, Paddy Power
WatfordTo Be Relegated15/8Sky Bet

Manchester City look worthy favourites to win the Premier League 2017-18 after a summer spent addressing the major faults in their squad. Pep Guardiola’s side, who finished third in his first season at the Etihad, are a best price of 15/8 with Bet365 and Paddy Power after bringing in a new first choice goalkeeper in Ederson and three younger, more mobile full-backs in Benjamin Mendy, Danilo and Kyle Walker. All four of the full-backs from last season’s squad having left the club along with Nolito, Jesus Navas and Fernando.

Guardiola has also brought in Bernardo Silva from Monaco to provide extra competition for Raheem Sterling’s position and cover for David Silva, whose injury absences have been keenly felt in recent years. The City boss would also like to bring in an extra striker before the end of August following the sale of Kelechi Iheanacho, adding to an attacking line-up consisting of Sergio Aguero, Gabriel Jesus, Leroy Sane and Sterling. City should be full of goals again, but the key to their chances is keeping Vincent Kompany fit, as the defence looks so much more solid with the Belgian at its heart. He returned to the team in the spring, bringing an instant improvement, and he appears to have come through pre-season unscathed.

Chelsea and Manchester United are next in the outright betting, with Chelsea at best odds of 7/2 and United 4/1 at BetVictor. Chelsea won the title by a distance last season but they certainly benefitted from their lack of European football, which gave the players additional time to recover between games and afforded their coach Antonio Conte more time to prepare for league matches. We’ll learn more about Chelsea and Conte as they defend their title while juggling other commitments.

United have signed Romelu Lukaku, Victor Lindelof and Nemanja Matic and will be much stronger than when they finished sixth last season. Jose Mourinho has won titles all over Europe and there’s no doubt that he will be able to improve a side who were held to far too many draws last season. If you don’t fancy City at the prices quoted, then United are the pick of the next two.

Over the last two seasons Tottenham have accumulated 10 points more than any other side in the league, finishing third in 2016 and second in 2017. A superb record at White Hart Lane has been a major factor – they were unbeaten at home last season – and there are doubts about their ability to sustain their successful home record as they switch to Wembley, where they struggled in cup competitions last term. However, Spurs have proved over the course of 76 games that they can maintain a consistent level of performance with their current squad, which Mauricio Pocchetino has seen no need to strengthen over the summer. Harry Kane and Dele Alli would get into any team in the division and if they stay free of injury they can keep Spurs in the mix. Whether their best is sufficient to win the title is debatable, but they are the pick of a competitive Top 4 Finish market at 10/11 with BetVictor.

Arsenal will be in the Europa League this season after dropping out of the top four for the first time in a couple of decades and although they have brought in Alexandre Lacazette as an upgrade on Olivier Giroud, their biggest problem is Alexis Sanchez. If they keep him, they will have a player winding down his contract and thinking of his next move next summer, while if they lose him they will be losing the man who has contributed more than any other player over the last couple of years. Either way, Sanchez is a distraction Arsene Wenger could do without as he attempts to repair his relationship with the section of the club’s support who would have preferred to see his long reign come to an end this summer. Arsenal are 12/1 with Betfred and Betfair in the title betting, or Evens with Unibet to finish in the top four.

Bet365 make Liverpool a 12/1 chance as they seek a first title since 1990, but manager Jurgen Klopp still has work to do to ensure results live up to the expectations created by his team’s performances in big games. Liverpool dropped too many points against teams in the lower reaches of the table last season, with defeats to Burnley, Hull and Swansea standing out, and that’s something they can ill afford if they hope to challenge for the title. That said, they were severely impacted by Sadio Mane’s knee injury and the imminent return to fitness of the Senegalese forward will be a major boost. Mo Salah also looks a good fit for Klopp’s side, although it’s hard to imagine them improving sufficiently to win the title.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Manchester CityPremier League Winners15/8Bet365, Paddy Power
TottenhamTop 4 Finish4/5BetVictor

Premier League Top Goalscorer

Harry Kane has been the Premier League’s top goalscorer in each of the last two seasons, with 54 goals in that time, and the England man is the market leader at best odds of 10/3 with BetVictor. Romelu Lukaku finished second in May with 25 goals to his name and he can flourish after his move to Manchester United. Like Kane, Lukaku is the main man in his position at his club and of the top two he looks the better bet at a stand-out price of 9/2 with Betfair.

Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus are 7/1 and 9/1 respectively but with so much competition for places at City there’s a good chance they will get less playing time than the market leaders. At 20/1 with Sky Bet, Aguero might be a better bet in the Player of the Year market if he can fire City to the title. So if you’re looking outside the top two in the betting, then Alexandre Lacazette has to be the best selection. The French striker will surely sit out much Europa League action to preserve him for the Premier League and he can build on his outstanding record with Lyon in Ligue 1.

The 26-year-old has scored 76 goals in 95 league games over the past three years and will thrive on the number of chances created by Mesut Ozil for the Gunners. As short as 8/1 in places, you can back him at 12/1 with both Bet365 and Paddy Power.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Alexandre Lacazette (ew)Top Goalscorer12/1Bet365, Paddy Power

Premier League Relegation

Huddersfield have been busy spending their Premier League windfall over the summer, but they are odds-on to go down at a best price of 4/6 with Bet365. Brighton, who finished second to Newcastle in the Championship, are 5/4 with Betfred and Paddy Power, while Burnley are a 13/10 chance with Unibet.

Watford finished last season in freefall, losing seven of their last eight games to finish in 17th, and they look vulnerable ahead of the new season. New manager Marco Silva had an initial impact at Hull and although he was unable to save them he does look to be a good appointment at Vicarage Road, but he has much to do to change their direction of travel. They are the pick in the relegation market at 15/8.

RECOMMENDED BETMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
WatfordTo Be Relegated15/8Sky Bet