Chantilly stages the latest running of the Arc today due to the ongoing redevelopment of Longchamp, but the same question marks over the possible impact of the draw remain, with those berthed high possibly at a disadvantage.
Ground wise, conditions are expected to be slightly on the slow side of good so not really favouring any runner who prefers extremes of ground.
Prix de l´Arc de Triomphe
Postponed is rightly a short priced favourite and will be hard to beat. He has looked the best middle distance performer in Europe all season, but he isn’t much value for the average punter.
He didn’t contest what was arguably the best middle distance race run in Europe this season, the Irish Champion Stakes, and that race provides plenty of clues for this contest given that Found was second, New Bay fourth, Highland Reel seventh and Derby winner Harzand eighth.
Found has had a busy season, although she seems to thrive on racing. She was unlucky here last season, but is this her ideal trip?
Harzand had excuses at Leopardstown, but it is hard to recommend a horse beaten so far last time out, so the one to take out of the race is surely NEW BAY, who was also third here last season.
It is fair to assume he will have improved since and, with only three runs so far this campaign, he looks set to peak at the right time. He is drawn well and looks a massive each way player.
Japan will surely win this great race sooner rather than later and MAKAHIKI has a big chance of breaking their duck today. The draw is a concern, but his French style preparation could pay dividends and his Prix Niel win must have put him spot on for this.
Of the long shot, Migwar is interesting, but is also drawn very wide, so with those bookmakers paying 4 places (Betfred, Paddy Power & Sky Bet) take a chance on the evergreen THE GREAT GATSBY. He’s as tough as a lion and a return to his very best would see him in with a chance of nicking a place on this only his fourth try at the trip. He’s a course winner, another plus, and any drying of the ground would help.
|New Bay (ew)||3.05 Chantilly||11/1||Bet365|
|Makahiki (ew)||3.05 Chantilly||7/1||Coral|
|The Great Gatsby (ew)||3.05 Chantilly||66/1||Sky Bet|
Prix de l´Abbaye de Longchamp
The day’s other big race is the Prix de L’Abbaye, where Mecca’s Angel is another rock solid favourite. She has been the best sprinter around all season, but the second best has arguably been PROFITABLE and he could be the one to give the favourite most to do and is a decent each way price too.
Just Glamourous could be a big danger if the form of his win last time out can be believed. However, he may have got the run of the race so MARSHA look a better bet as she has a chance of overturning that form.
|Profitable (ew)||4.35 Chantilly||7/1||Bet365|
|Marsha (ew)||4.35 Chantilly||14/1||Bet365|
Total Prix Marcel Boussac
In terms of the earlier races, Aiden O’Brien has big chances in both of the two year old races that kick off the action.
In the fillies contest – the Prix Marcel Boussac – PROMISE TO BE TRUE looks the one to beat, but FIRST OF SPRINGS is also interesting as she is stepping up in trip for the first time, something that should really suit her based on her pedigree.
|Promise To Be True (ew)||1.10 Chantilly||5/1||Coral|
|First Of Springs (ew)||1.10 Chantilly||8/1||Coral|
Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere
Whitecliffsofdover can also run well for Ballydoyle in the Grand Criterium, but don’t rule out stablemate UTAH. There are plenty of examples of an apparent O’Brien second string beating his more fancied rival.
|Utah (ew)||1.45 Chantilly||16/1||William Hill|
Qatar Prix de la Foret
In the finale back TRIXIA and JIMMY TWO TIMES to upstage hot favourite Limato. We like the angle of the former dropping back in trip, whilst this is also the latters best distance.
|Trixia (ew)||5.15 Chantilly||11/1||William Hill|
|Jimmy Two Times (ew)||5.15 Chantilly||8/1||William Hill|