Saturday Premier League Tips

We preview both of the televised Premier League games on Saturday featuring the Merseyside Derby at Anfield and followed by a South Coast Derby at St Mary’s.

Liverpool v Everton     sky_sports_hd1

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Draw1X231/10Unibet
Under 2.5Total Goals6/5Betfair
1-1Correct Score7/1Paddy Power
 After the 26th MinuteTime Of First Goal11/10Paddy Power
Roberto FirminoFirst Goalscorer21/4Unibet

Liverpool are unbeaten in the last 13 Merseyside Derby’s (W7, D6) – while Everton’s last win at Anfield came way back in September 1999 (since then L8, D9 here).

A 4-0 league win last season at Anfield was preceded by a 1-1 draw, then a 4-0, 0-0, 3-0, 2-2, 1-0 and a 1-1 – note that trend of a Liverpool win being followed by a draw.

Despite that high percentage of draws, Liverpool are strong favourites at best odds of 8/11 with Bet365, with Everton 17/4 at BetVictor and the draw 31/10 with Unibet.

But that 31/10 on another stalemate looks too tempting to miss. The Blues have only lost 1 of their last 12 league games (W8, D3) – a run dating back to a 1-0 defeat to Liverpool at Goodison in December, courtesy of a 94th minute Sadio Mane goal.

We also anticipate another tight, low-scoring, game – Everton have scored just 17 goals in their 14 away games this season – back Under 2.5 Goals at 6/5 with Betfair.

Let’s also go for the 1-1 at a huge looking 7/1 with Paddy Power and for the time of the first goal to be after the 26th minute at 11/10 with the same bookmaker.

Finally, we’ll go for Roberto Firminio to score first at a stand-out 21/4 with Unibet.

Southampton v Bournemouth     btsport1

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Southampton1X24/6Sky Bet
James Ward-Prowse (ew)First Goalscorer12/1Paddy Power
Under 2.5Total Goals6/5Betfair

There is just 23 miles between the grounds of these two clubs, but there’s even less between them in the league – both on 33 points in 10th and 11th place respectively.

But the Saints do have two games in hand and Bournemouth’s away form this season has been atrocious – with just two wins in 14 games on the road (D3, L9).

Southampton haven’t played at St. Mary’s since a 1-3 defeat to West Ham back in early February – indeed they have lost 3 of their last 4 home games.

But we expect Claude Puel’s men to reverse that trend here, at best odds of 4/6 with Sky Bet, having beaten Bournemouth 3-1 in the reverse fixture in December.

James Ward-Prowse earnt his first full England cap last week and he scored against Spurs the week before – he’s a huge looking 12/1 with Paddy Power to score first.

We’ll also recommend backing Under 2.5 Goals again at best price 6/5 with Betfair.