Our snapshot previews of both of the televised Premier League games on Saturday, firstly featuring Sunderland v Arsenal and then Crystal Palace v Liverpool.
Sunderland v Arsenal
Saturday 29th October / 12.30pm
|Under 2.5||Total Goals||6/4||Paddy Power|
|Arsenal 1-0||Correct Score||15/2||Bet365|
|Arsenal 2-0||Correct Score||7/1||Bet365|
|Alexis Sanchez (ew)||First Goalscorer||15/4||Bet365|
A contrast in form, with the Gunners having taken 13 of a possible 15 points from their last 5 league matches, while Sunderland have just 1 point from their last 5.
So, it’s no surprise that the visitors are 2/5 (generally) to win at the Stadium of Light, while the Black Cats are available at 15/2 and the draw at 21/5, both with BetVictor.
But these clubs have drawn two of their last three league games 0-0 – including the corresponding fixture last season – and David Moyes is sure to be defensive here.
We therefore suggest backing Under 2.5 Goals at 6/4 with Paddy Power, which looks far too big given that we doubt Sunderland will score (just 6 goals in 9 games so far).
If not, Arsenal must score three for us to lose this bet, despite failing to break down Boro at home last week and only just winning 1-0 at Burnley in their last away game.
On the same basis, we will also recommend backing the 0-1 and 0-2 away wins with Bet365, who offer to refund losing Correct Score bets on all games that finish 0-0.
Arsenal last won here in Oct 2014, a 2-0 victory courtesy of two goals from Chilean Alexis Sanchez, who can be backed at odds of 15/4 with Bet365 to score first again.
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Saturday 29th October / 5.30pm
|Liverpool||Match Result & Both Teams To Score||12/5||Bet365, Betfred|
|Over 2.5||Total Goals||8/11||Bet365, BetVictor|
|Liverpool 2-1||Correct Score||8/1||Bet365|
|Liverpool 3-1||Correct Score||14/1||Bet365|
|Roberto Firmino (ew)||First Goalscorer||11/2||Paddy Power|
|Christian Benteke||Anytime Goalscorer||11/5||Unibet|
The Reds have also won 2-1 in both of their last two away league games (at Swansea and Chelsea), while Palace have only won one of their four home games this season.
But given Liverpool have kept only one clean sheet away from home in the league in 2016 (14 games), we first suggest backing ‘Liverpool to win and both teams to score’.
We also recommend backing Over 2.5 Goals at best odds of 8/11 – as this bet would have won in 11 of the last 12 games between these clubs in all competitions.
Palace have lost 8 of their 13 league games at Selhurst Park in 2016 (W3, D2) and have not beaten a club currently in the Premier League’s top 15 since Dec 12 2015.
We therefore suggest backing the 2-1 and 3-1 away wins at best odds of 8/1 and 14/1 respectively with Bet365, while Roberto Firmino appeals at 11/2 to score first.
However, former Liverpool player Christian Benteke also looks worth backing to score a goal at any time in the game at stand-out odds of 11/5 offered by Unibet.