We preview both of the televised games on Saturday, featuring Chelsea v Arsenal at Stamford Bridge and followed by Tottenham v Middlesbrough at White Hart Lane.
Chelsea v Arsenal
|Chelsea||To Win To Nil||5/2||Paddy Power|
|Chelsea 2-0||Correct Score||9/1||Bet365|
|Diego Costa||First Goalscorer||18/5||BetVictor|
|David Luiz (ew)||First Goalscorer||25/1||Sky Bet|
|Gary Cahill (ew)||First Goalscorer||28/1||Bet365|
Chelsea are already nine points clear of Arsenal and Tottenham, and a defeat for the Gunners would surely signal the end of their title aspirations for yet another season.
The Blues have won 13 of their last 15 games – scoring 33 goals in the process – and have conceded just 7 goals during this run, while Arsenal have managed only 8 wins in the same period, scoring 32 goals and conceding 16.
Arsenal sensationally lost to Watford in midweek, where they were lethargic across the park – and on that form they will be outplayed and outclassed by Chelsea here.
The last nine games (all competitions) between these sides have seen only one team score. And, given that Chelsea are conceding at a rate of just 0.7 goals per game this season, we suggest backing them to win ‘to nil’ at best price 5/2 with Paddy Power.
We’ll also go for a 2-0 home win at 9/1 with Bet365, but as the psychology of this game suggests that Chelsea would settle for a draw rather than going all-out for victory here, we’ll also have a saver on the 1-1 at best odds of 13/2 with BetVictor.
Diego Costa must be backed at stand-out odds of 18/5 with BetVictor to score first, but we also recommend backing both David Luiz and Gary Cahill each-way.
Cahill has scored twice in Chelsea’s last five games, while Luiz scored a magnificent free-kick at Anfield in midweek and also went close on a couple of other occasions.
Tottenham v Middlesbrough
|Middlesbrough (+1.5)||Asian Handicap||10/9||BetVictor|
|Deli Alli (ew)||First Goalscorer||9/2||Paddy Power|
|0-0||Half Time Score||12/5||Bet365|
|Under 2.5||Total Goals||6/5||Paddy Power|
Games between these two clubs are often tight – indeed only one of their last eight league games has been won with more than a goal separating the sides.
Given that Boro are only conceding at a rate of 1.13 goals per game this season and Spurs at 0.7, we feel that a 1-1 draw is a decent wager at a huge 11/1 with Bet365.
Those odds appeal even more when you factor in Bet365’s offer to refund losing Correct Score bets on all games that finish 0-0 – Boro have drawn 3 of their last 4 games (0-0 twice and 1-1 once) and have had four 1-1’s and four 0-0’s this season.
Spurs drew 0-0 in midweek and have drawn 1-1 five times this season and 0-0 twice – combined that’s 15 of their 46 games this season that have ended 0-0 or 1-1 (33%).
We also want to be with Boro on the Asian Handicap getting a 1.5 goal start at 10/9 with BetVictor – with this bet you only lose if Tottenham win by two clear goals.
Harry Kane looks a little short at 5/2 to score first and we prefer Dele Alli, who has scored 8 goals in his last 7 league appearances, each-way at 9/2 with Paddy Power.