Our snapshot previews of both televised Premier League games on Saturday, kicking off with the champions Leicester visiting Stamford Bridge at lunchtime.
Chelsea v Leicester
Saturday 15th October / 12.30pm
|Leicester (+1)||Asian Handicap||19/20||Bet365|
|Diego Costa (ew)||First Goalscorer||10/3||Bet365|
Chelsea are strongly fancied by the bookmakers to beat Leicester, despite Antonio Conte now being favourite to be the next Premier League manager to lose his job.
Conte is as short as 4/5 with BetVictor in the ‘sack race’ market following an industry wide gamble on the Italian, with Ladbrokes currently offering the best odds of 3/1.
Last season Leicester drew 1-1 here and beat Chelsea at home, but Claudia Ranieri’s side lost in extra-time to Chelsea in the EFL Cup last month, despite being 2-0 up.
True, Chelsea started the season well, but they have now lost two of their last three matches, while they only drew 2-2 against Swansea in the match before that.
On balance, we feel that the hosts are too short here and so we suggest backing Leicester on the Asian Handicap getting a whole goal start at 19/20 with Bet365 – thus you collect if Leicester win or draw and get refunded if they lose by one goal.
For First Goalscorer bets we have to suggest Diego Costa, given that he has scored 6 goals this season already and Bet365’s 10/3 looks worth an each-way bet.
Finally, we like the 1-1 and 2-2 draws at best odds of 15/2 and 16/1 respectively with Bet365 – who also refund all losing Correct Score bets on games that finish 0-0.
Crystal Palace v West Ham
Saturday 15th October / 5.30pm
|Over 2.5||Total Goals||5/6||BetVictor, Coral|
|Over 3.5||Total Goals||11/5||Betfred|
|West Ham 3-1||Correct Score||33/1||Bet365|
|West Ham 3-2||Correct Score||40/1||Bet365|
|Dimitri Payet (ew)||First Goalscorer||9/1||Bet365|
The Hammers were third in the league at this same point last season, but now they are third bottom. They are still very decent going forward but their defence has gone to pieces, conceding 17 goals in just 7 games (W1, D1, L5).
Looking further back, they ended last season conceding 21 goals in their last 10 league games, so this is clearly a problem that Slaven Bilic has had for some time.
Palace also started this season poorly, with two defeats and a draw, but have come into form boosted by the arrivals of Loic Remy and Christian Benteke.
The Eagles have elevated themselves into 8th place with three wins in their last four games, but although they should be favourites (23/20 with Betfred), West Ham look overpriced to us at the 29/10 offered by BetVictor.
West Ham won this fixture 1-3 in each of the last two seasons, while Palace have lost 7 of their 12 league games at Selhurst Park in 2016 (W3, D2).
It is certainly worth noting that the last 4 league games between these sides have each seen 4 goals and bets on Over 2.5 Goals and Over 3.5 Goals look worthwhile.
On the same basis, we’ll also suggest a couple of high scoring Correct Score bets – another 3-1 West Ham win is 33/1, while a 3-2 away win is 40/1 – both at Bet365.
Finally, let’s back Dimitri Payet to score the first goal at 9/1 with Bet365 – he will take most set pieces and that price is out of kilter with the industry average of 15/2.