We preview both of the televised Premier League games on Sunday, kicking-off with Swansea v Boro at the Liberty Stadium and then Arsenal v Man City at the Emirates.
Swansea v Middlesbrough
|Over 2.5||Total Goals||5/4||Betfair|
|Swansea 3-1||Correct Score||18/1||Bet365|
|Swansea 3-2||Correct Score||35/1||Paddy Power|
|Fernando Llorente (ew)||First Goalscorer||4/1||Bet365|
A real relegation dogfit as 17th placed Swansea host 19th placed Boro – albeit Paul Clement’s Swans are currently 5 points ahead of managerless Middlesbrough.
Boro do at least have a game in hand, but their caretaker manager Steve Agnew has a frankly impossible task if his side leave Wales empty-handed on Sunday night.
They have lost their last three Premier League games and have no wins in their last 11 (L7, D4) – while the Swans have won their last three home games at the Liberty.
Given that Boro have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road (D1), scoring just 1 goal, we’re surprised to see Swansea available at even-money with Betfair (odds-on elsewhere).
The visitors really have to go for all 3 points here and so we suggest backing Over 2.5 Goals at best price 5/4 – this bet would have won in 12 of the last 14 games here.
But given that Swansea have conceded 30 goals in 14 home games this season we’ll also go for a few high scoring home wins – try 3-1 at best price 18/1 and 3-2 at 35/1.
Finally, we’ll take Swansea’s Fernando Llorente, scorer of 7 goals in Swansea’s last 8 home games, each-way, to get the game’s first goal at best odds of 4/1 with Bet365.
Arsenal v Manchester City
|Arsenal||Draw No Bet||5/4||Betfair|
|Over 2.5||Total Goals||8/13||Betfair|
|Arsenal 2-1||Correct Score||11/1||Bet365|
|Arsenal 3-1||Correct Score||22/1||Bet365|
|Alexis Sanchez (ew)||First Goalscorer||6/1||Sky Bet|
With Arsene Wenger’s side languishing in 6th place, equal on points with 7th placed Everton, this is a pivotal match in their season against 4th placed Manchester City.
However, Arsenal’s Premier League home record against City is excellent – they have lost just one of their last 19 (W12, D6) and despite their recent troubles, the Gunners have still won six of their last seven games here at the Emirates.
We certainly expect goals – 6 of their last 7 league games have seen both the teams score – and a bet on Over 2.5 Goals looks worthwhile at best price 8/13 with Betfair.
We also like the 2-1 and 3-1 home wins at 11/1 and 22/1 respectively with Bet365.
Finally, Alexis Sanchez scored both goals in Arsenal’s last home game and he is a stand-out 6/1 with Sky Bet to score the first goal again – take that price each-way.