Tour Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Andy Sullivan (ew)Tournament Winner25/1Betfair
Joost Luiten (ew)Tournament Winner66/1BetfairPaddy Power


The DP World Tour Championship has been dominated by Rory McIlroy and Henrik Stenson in the last four years, with each of them claiming two victories apiece, and both men will be at the Jumeirah Golf Estates course this week with their sights set on ending the season at the top of the rankings. It’s not a two-way tussle, however, as Masters champion Danny Willett and in-form Swede Alex Noren are also within touching distance of Stenson’s overall lead. At 7,675 yards the course favours those who can generate great distance off the tee and the wide fairways, large greens and absence of water hazards also play into the hands of big hitters – Alvaro Quiros and Robert Karlsson were the 2010 & 2011 winners before Henrik and Rory took charge.


As you would expect, it is Stenson and McIlroy, currently first and fourth in the Race to Dubai, who dominate the betting. McIlroy saw off a sustained challenge from Andy Sullivan to win his second title here last year, while the Northern Irishman was one of three men to share second place when Stenson won for the second time in 2014. McIlroy is no bigger than 3/1 with Bet365, while Stenson is a 6/1 chance with Paddy Power – who are offering 6 places for each-way bets. Noren, who has been the most impressive player over the closing months of the European Tour season, with three wins in two months, is at 16/1 with Bet365, but Willett can be backed at best price 45/1 with BetVictor as he struggles to overcome a back injury. Branden Grace is at 22/1, while Andy Sullivan and Sergio Garcia are both 25/1 – all at Betfair.


Andy SullivanANDY SULLIVAN looked out of sorts in the run up to the Ryder Cup, perhaps with the enormity of making his debut for Europe against the USA playing on his mind. However, he has since played his way back into form, finishing second at the Portugal Masters and then in a share of third place at the Nedbank Challenge in South Africa last week. Rounds of 66, 66, 68 and 68 gave him second place here last year, one shot behind McIlroy but five clear of the rest of the field, and he looks poised to make an impact on this tournament once again. Take those best odds of 25/1 with Betfair – he is as short as 16/1 elsewhere.

joost-luitenMediocre opening rounds have kept JOOST LUITEN out of the spotlight in recent weeks, but he has gone on to finish just outside the top 10 at both the HSBC Champions and Nedbank Challenge. The Dutchman was fourth at this event three years ago and ninth a year later and the winner of September’s KLM Open by three shots is a prodigious birdie-maker when he gets into his stride. He looks to be coming into form just in time for one of the richest events of the year and is the pick of the each-way bets at best odds of 66/1 with Paddy Power or Betfair. You get an extra place with Paddy Power, but with 1/5 odds not 1/4.

Andy Sullivan (ew)Tournament Winner25/1Betfair
Joost Luiten (ew)Tournament Winner66/1Betfair, Paddy Power