Commercial Content | 18+ | T&C's Apply
Commercial Content | 18+ | T&C's Apply

US Open 2015 Tips – Men’s

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Roger Federer (ew)Outright Winner9/2Titanbet
Kei Nishikori2nd Quarter Winner13/8Bet365, Sky Bet, Coral

The final Grand Slam of the season gets underway on Monday at Flushing Meadows, where Marin Cilic will attempt to defend his 2014 title, but odds as long as 66/1 with CoralBetfred and William Hill suggest that a repeat of that success is unlikely.

Novak Djokovic once again heads the betting field, and for understandable reasons. His two season form against Top 10 players on Hard Courts is an impressive 70% win rate, while he has won 91% of matches against players ranked 10-50th in the World on the surface. Crucially, he has dodged anyone with the calibre to give him a match in the early rounds and only Kei Nishikori (2014 finalist) ticks the box of someone likely to make life difficult for him in the top half of the draw. Priced up as the 6/5 favourite with Paddy Power, it’s pretty hard to make a case against the Serb.

In the opposite side of the draw, Andy Murray and Roger Federer are the stand-out performers and when assessing this tournament it’s honestly hard to see past a final being contested between one or other of these two, and Djokovic.

Federer actually has the strongest two-season surface stats of anyone, coming in marginally ahead of Djokovic with a 75% win ratio against Top 10 players and 92% against those ranked 10-50. The question mark is whether his slightly older joints will cope with the five set Slam format, but with an extra day between each match, we reckon Federer is worth taking a chance on for one more Grand Slam title at best odds of 9/2 (Titanbet). Not only does the Swiss have the strongest stats coming into this on a pure win-ratio basis (Djokovic is marginally ahead when looking at hold and break records this season), but he also recently brushed aside both Djokovic and Murray in straight sets in Cincinatti and will have great confidence as a result.

Murray, of course, will be a tough nut to crack should they meet in the semi-finals, but his hard court record against Top 10 players has been less impressive over the past season at 7-11 – suggesting he should be the outsider in the potential semi. With Murray also a 9/2 shot (Paddy Power) and given a sterner test at the start of the tournament, he’s passed over in the outright.

With the three top mean so clearly out in front, we’ll resist going into depth in the quarter betting, but it’s well worth a look at quarter two, where Kei Nishikori, Marin Cilic, Grigor Dimitrov and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga are among those bidding for a place in the semi-finals alongside Djokovic.

It is easy to understand why the bookies have made Nishikori the 13/8 favourite for this section. The Japanese beat Cilic en route to winning the Washington title and performed admirably in reaching the semi-finals in Montreal, only to lose to Murray. He boasts an 82% win rate against 10th-50th players over the past two years.

Last year’s winner Cilic is the 4/1 second favourite here, but a second round exit to Tomic in Montreal, and 3rd round defeat to Gasquet in Cincinatti suggest he’s not at the top of his game right now, while Dimitrov and Tsonga have struggled somewhat against the top players this season and could find they come up just too short.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Roger Federer (ew)Outright Winner9/2Titanbet
Kei Nishikori2nd Quarter Winner13/8Bet365, Sky Bet, Coral