US Open 2016 Betting Preview

Novak DjokovicTournament Winner5/4Paddy Power, Coral
Andy MurrayTo Reach Final4/5Paddy Power

It’s been a while since we’ve found odds-against quotes available about Novak Djokovic taking down a Grand Slam, but that’s exacty what we find ahead of the US Open 2016, thanks mostly to Andy Murray’s superb summer form.

The Scot followed up on his Wimbledon victory by taking gold in Rio of course, and then went on to reach the final in Cincinatti a fortnight ago. He will certainly have welcomed the week’s rest ahead of this event, but is bound to remain somewhat fatigued after reaching the final in his last six events.

This then looks a straight fight between Djokovic and Murray who start from opposite ends of the draw. With no Federer taking part, Djokovic could meet Marian Cilic in the quarter finals, and perhaps Nadal or Raonic in the semi-finals, while Murray’s most likely route could involve Kei Nishikori at the quarter-final stage and either Del Potro, Kyrgios or Wawrinka in the semis.

Despite Murray’s tremendous form, we can’t see him coming out on top against a man who is 24-3 against Top 10 players on hard courts over the past two seasons, and despite losing in the first round to Del Potro in the Olympics, we should remember that the Argentine went on to reach the final in Rio where he gave Murray a tremendous battle as well, and looks well back to the level he was playing at three years prior to his well documented injury troubles, so that defeat shouldn’t be treated as a significant negative for Djokovic.

Having won 13 of the last 15 meetings between the men, Djokovic will go off shorter than 2/5 to beat Murray in the final should it happen, and we’re happy to get about at 5/4 now for another Grand Slam for Djokovic.

Plus, bet £25 on the US Open winner with Paddy Power and they’ll give you a free £5 bet for every match they win (so £35 free if your player wins the tournament).

Alternatively, bet up to £25 on the US Open winner with Coral and they’ll give you your money back, as a free bet, if your player loses in the final (men’s or women’s).

Murray will almost certainly be the Serb’s opponent in the final, and although we think it will be a step too far for the Scot, the 4/5 on him reaching the final looks a fair shout. Murray has a 9-7 winning record versus top 10 players on Hard courts over the past two seasons, but that improves to 8-2 when you take the meetings against Djokovic out of the stats, and given how often the pair meet, its probably fair to do that when comparing his records with other players. Only Del Potro in his side of the draw has a level record, with all other players holding losing records, so we’re siding with the Scot to progress to the final.

Novak DjokovicTournament Winner5/4Paddy Power
Andy MurrayTo Reach Final4/5Paddy Power