We preview all three of the televised Premier League games this weekend, including Liverpool’s visit to Vicarage Road to face Watford on Sunday lunchtime.
Newcastle v Aston Villa
Saturday 19th December / 5.30pm
|Newcastle 2-0||Correct Score||19/2||BetVictor|
|Newcastle 2-1||Correct Score||17/2||BetVictor, Bet365|
|Georginio Wijnaldum (ew)||First Goalscorer||7/1||Bet365|
|Jordan Ayew||First Goalscorer||10/1||Coral|
|Jordan Ayew||Anytime Goalscorer||7/2||Coral|
Aston Villa take on Newcastle on Saturday afternoon, with the Villains having collected just six points all season (W1, D3, L12) and currently 1/7 to be relegated.
They travel to St James’s Park to face a side that have won two consecutive league games having beaten Liverpool 2-0 at home, before coming from behind to become the first team this season to beat Spurs (2-1) at White Hart Lane last Sunday.
Despite their troubled start to the season, Newcastle have managed to score 13 goals at home – only four sides have scored more in front of their own fans – and we feel that the 21/20 is a value bet, given the momentum they now have.
Georginio Wijnaldum has scored seven Premier League goals this season and looks a decent bet at 7/1 with Bet365 to score the first goal of the game.
We also want to be with Aston Villa’s top scorer, Jordan Ayew, to score first at a massive looking 10/1 with Coral (he’s just 7/1 with various other bookmakers), while we also suggest backing him at 7/2 with Coral to score at any time (2/1 elsewhere).
Watford v Liverpool
Sunday 20th December / 1.30pm
|Watford||Draw No Bet||2/1||William Hill|
|Under 2.5||Total Goals||8/11||Bet365|
|Watford 1-0||Correct Score||10/1||Bet365|
|Liverpool 1-0||Correct Score||13/2||Bet365|
|Odion Ighalo (ew)||First Goalscorer||7/1||Bet365|
Watford are currently one point and two places above Liverpool in the Premier League table, but it’s Liverpool that are the even money favourites, with Watford available at a big looking 16/5 with Bet365 and the draw at 13/5 with Paddy Power.
The worry about backing Watford to win is that their away form (14 points) has been better than their home form (11 points), so instead we suggest backing them in the Draw No Bet market at a stand-out price of 2/1 with William Hill.
The Hornets have kept 5 clean sheets in their 8 home league games this season and their 6 goals conceded at home is the third best defensive record in the league. But they have only scored 6 goals in front of their fans too – the second worst record.
Meanwhile, Liverpool have scored just ten goals in eight away matches, so we strongly suggest backing Under 2.5 Goals here at a best price of 8/11 with Bet365.
On that basis we also suggest backing Correct Scores with Bet365, as they refund losing bets on all games that finish 0-0. So, let’s back the 1-0 home win at 10/1, the 0-1 away win at 13/2 and the 1-1 at 6/1.
Watford’s top goal scorer, Odion Ighalo, has scored ten league goals this season – that’s 55% of their whole total. Take Bet365’s 7/1 on him scoring first, each-way.
Swansea v West Ham
Sunday 20th December / 4pm
|No Goalscorer||First Goalscorer||17/2||Betfred|
Swansea fans are still awaiting news on who will replace Garry Monk at the helm, with their side having secured just one point from their last 6 games.
West Ham’s form has also dipped over the same period – winning none of their last 6 games (D4, L2), however they still sit third in a table made up of just away games.
Therefore the best odds of 3/1 with BetVictor are very appealing for West Ham to beat a managerless side who have lost 3 of their last 4 home games (D1).
Both sides have both scored a total of just one goal in their last three games, thus it might also be worth backing No Goalscorer in the Correct Score market at best odds of 17/2 with Betfred, so you also collect if it ends 1-0 or 0-1 courtesy of an own goal.