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Weekend Premier League Tips

The 2015/2016 Premier League season kicks off on Saturday lunchtime at Old Trafford and we have Premier League tips for all of the weekend’s televised games.

Manchester United v Tottenham

bt-sport1 Saturday 8th August / 12.45pm

Over 2.5Total Goals4/5BetVictor, Sky Bet
Wayne RooneyAnytime Goalscorer11/8Sky Bet
Manchester United 3-1Correct Score14/1BetVictor
Manchester United 4-1Correct Score30/1BetVictor

Usually goals flow when these two sides meet – last year’s fixture at Old Trafford in March finished 3-0 and before that it was 1-2, 2-3 and 3-0. So the first bet looks to be on Over 2.5 Goals at a best price of 4/5 with BetVictor or Sky Bet.

Wayne Rooney looks like he will be playing much more forward and getting more chances to score this season. He scored United’s third goal in both of those 3-0 wins and you can back him at a massive looking 11/8 with Sky Bet to score at any time.

That compares very favourably to the 10/11 offered by both Bet365 and William Hill, especially as the United captain has scored six goals on the opening weekend of the Premier League season and 10 goals in 15 league games for United against Spurs.

Harry Kane had an excellent season, but Spurs relied on him for too many of their goals – he scored 36% of their total and opposing teams will know more about him this term. He can be backed at 7/1 with Paddy Power to score first at Old Trafford.

United only conceded 15 goals at home last season, while Spurs let in 29 on the road – the highest number of goals conceded away from home by any team in the top half the Premier League table – in fact it was more than relegated Hull City.

So, it’s been no surprise that Mauricio Pochettino has bolstered up his rearguard – the addition of Toby Alderweireld from Atletico Madrid, via Southampton, will help.

But the hosts can still start the season with a comfortable victory – we like the odds on both 3-1 (14/1 BetVictor) and 4-1 (30/1 BetVictor).

Chelsea v Swansea

SkySports1 Saturday 8th August / 5.30pm

Diego CostaAnytime Goalscorer3/4William Hill
ChelseaClean Sheet17/20Coral
ChelseaTo Win To Nil6/5BetVictor

In 23 Premier League seasons, the defending champions have never lost the first game of the season (W20, D3) and Chelsea are no bigger than 4/11 to beat Swansea with Bet365, who offer the Swans at 10/1 and the draw at 4/1.

Last season Jose Mourinho’s team won this fixture 4-2, with Diego Costa grabbing a hat-trick and he is 10/3 to score first and 18/1 to score another hat-trick at Bet365.

There are reported issues with his hamstring of late, so while he is likely to start we suggest taking advantage of William Hill’s new ‘Super Sub’ offer for televised games – if the player you have bet on is substituted, your bet runs you onto the player who replaces him at the original price. Take the 3/4 on him to score with that insurance.

Although finishing in 8th place, Swansea didn’t set the world alight in front of goal, averaging just 11.2 shots per game – the third lowest in the division. Back Chelsea to start with something they did 17 times last season – a clean sheet at 17/20 with Coral, while we also suggest backing Chelsea to ‘win to nil’ at 6/5 with BetVictor.

Arsenal v West Ham

SkySports1 Sunday 9th August / 1.30pm

Olivier Giroud (ew)First Goalscorer15/4Bet365
Over 2.5Total Goals4/7Bet365

The Gunners will be without Jack Wilshere and Danny Welbeck here, but such is their depth in their squad, that they may not have been in the starting XI anyway. And that just goes to show how Arsenal have developed over the last few seasons.

They won this game 3-0 last season – their tenth successive win over the Hammers and in recent seasons they have won this fixture 3-1 and 5-1. Olivier Giroud scored in all three of those games and we strongly suggest backing him each-way to score first at Bet365’s standout price of 15/4.

Given their pre-season form and recent results in this fixture it would be a surprise if Arsenal failed to score at least twice here, and so we like the look of the Over 2.5 Goals option again – the Hammers have scored at least one goal at the Emirates on three of their last five visits, but even if Petr Cech was to keep a clean sheet in his first league game for Arsenal, the Gunners are more than capable of scoring three.

Stoke v Liverpool

SkySports1 Sunday 9th August / 4pm

Over 3.5Total Goals11/4BetVictor, Betfred
Mame Biram DioufFirst Goalscorer9/1William Hill
Charlie AdamAnytime Goalscorer5/1Bet365
Jonathan WaltersAnytime Goalscorer4/1Paddy Power

Liverpool return to the Britannia Stadium looking to restore some pride, having suffered their worst defeat in 52 years on the final day of last season here. It is therefore slightly surprising to see Brendan Rodgers’ side as 13/10 favourites to win – at a ground where they have lost twice in three visits under his stewardship.

In fact, Liverpool have lost on four of their last five league visits here and so we suggest backing the hosts at odds of 12/5 with Bet365. Last season backing Stoke blindly would have won you £26.70 for a £1 bet on them in every one of their 38 league games. In short, they outperformed their odds which is a sure sign that they are improving and still under valued by the bookmakers.

Both sides have undergone substantial changes since that 6-1 mauling – with Stoke making eight signings (including Liverpool’s Glen Johnson) and Liverpool seven.

Incidentally, you can back a repeat of that 6-1 scoreline at best odds of 750/1 with Betfred, while Glen Johnson is a stand-out 20/1 with Unibet to score at any time.

More realistically, we suggest backing Over 3.5 Goals at best odds of 11/4 with  Betfred or BetVictor – the last three of these fixtures have ended 6-1, 3-5 and 3-1.

Christian Benteke (11/2 BetVictor) is favourite to score first, but we prefer odds of 9/1 for Stoke’s top goalscorer last season, Mame Biram Diouf, who scored the first two goals in that 6-1 victory in May. The Senegalese striker scored 7 goals in their last 11 home games last season, including the first goal in four of those games.

Other Stoke players worth consideration in the goalscorer markets include former Liverpool players Peter Crouch and Charlie Adam, both of whom have scored in this fixture in each of the last two seasons. Adam especially appeals at odds of 5/1 with  Bet365 to score at any time in the game – the Scottish midfielder scored in all of Stoke’s last four home games last season.

Another player with a good goal scoring record at the Britannia against Liverpool is Jonathan Walters – the scouser has scored in four of Stoke’s last five home games against the Reds and is best price 4/1 with Paddy Power to score (2/1 with Coral).

Also, if you place a pre-match bet of £20 on any televised Premier League game in August with Paddy Power they will give you a free £10 in-play bet.