This weekend’s televised Premier League action kicks off at Old Trafford on Saturday lunchtime and is headlined by Everton v Man City at Goodison Park on Sunday.
Manchester United v Newcastle United
Saturday 22nd August / 12.45pm
|Man Utd/Man Utd||Half-Time/Full-Time||21/20||Coral|
|Wayne Rooney (ew)||First Goalscorer||7/2||Paddy Power|
|Man United 1-0||Correct Score||6/1||Bet365|
|Man United 2-0||Correct Score||6/1||Bet365|
Following two rather laborious 1-0 victories in the Premier League, Man United put in a decent midweek performance to beat FC Brugges 3-1 in the Champions League.
Newcastle have a desperate record at Old Trafford – they have managed just one win in 21 Premier League visits, while over the last three seasons they have lost 14 of their 15 games against sides who finished in the top-five.
And the Magpies have yet to taste victory this season with one defeat and one draw under new manager, and former Man United assistant manager, Steve McClaren. In fact, the Magpies have now lost 7 consecutive away games scoring just one goal – including last week’s 2-0 loss at Swansea.
In 6 of those 7 away defeats they were losing at half-time, so we like the stand-out odds of 21/20 offered by Coral on the hosts winning at both half-time and full-time (just 10/11 with most bookmakers).
Wayne Rooney will relish this opportunity to open his account for the season – he scored twice in this fixture last season (including the first goal) and at a best price of 7/2 with Paddy Power he is worth backing each-way (1/3 odds for the ‘place’ – if he scores any of the first 5 goals).
But with two cautious managers in charge, we see value in going low with regards to any Correct Score bets. Louis van Gaal’s side have won 8 of their last 9 home games against bottom-half sides and 7 of those were by either one or two goal margins.
Back the hosts to win 1-0 and 2-0, both at best odds of 6/1 with Bet365 – who offer to refund losing Correct Score bets on all games that finish 0-0.
West Brom v Chelsea
Sunday 23rd August / 1.30pm
|Pedro (ew)||First Goalscorer||13/2||Paddy Power|
|Eden Hazard (ew)||First Goalscorer||11/2||Bet365|
|Yes||Both Teams To Score||11/10||Coral|
|Chelsea 2-1||Correct Score||17/2||Betfred|
|Chelsea 3-1||Correct Score||16/1||Betfred|
Chelsea have yet to win a game this season and subsequently their odds to retain the title have drifted out to an incredible 4/1 with Coral. That seems a price to take advantage of – a loss to Manchester City at the Etihad and a home draw against a decent Swansea side is not too worrying, although a five point gap arguably is.
So, a win at the Hawthorns is imperative this weekend for the Blues and they can be backed at 4/6 with both Betfred, Ladbrokes and William Hill, while the Baggies are available at best odds of 11/2 and the draw at 3/1 – both with Bet365.
It is certainly worth noting that Chelsea have struggled at the Hawthorns of late – losing three and drawing one of their last four visits. But they have also won 13 of their last 14 league games following a defeat.
Pedro, who trained with his new teammates on Thursday, may well start and that could ignite an instant reaction to last weekend’s poor performance and result. The former Barca man is 13/2 to score first with Paddy Power (just 9/2 with William Hill).
Eden Hazard has scored three goals in six games against the Baggies and also looks worth backing to score first at 11/2 with Bet365.
West Brom have failed to score this season, but they have done so in 7 of their last 8 games against Chelsea here. So, with the Blues’ defence rightfully coming under increasing scrutiny, it looks worth backing both teams to score at 11/10 with Coral.
On that basis, we’ll also go for 2-1 and 3-1 away wins at 17/2 and 16/1 respectively with Betfred, who refund losing Correct Score bets on televised games that end 1-1.
Everton v Manchester City
Sunday 23rd August / 4pm
|Yes||Both Teams To Score||4/6||Bet365, BetVictor|
|Everton (+1)||Asian Handicap||4/6||BetVictor|
|Romelu Lukaku (ew)||First Goalscorer||8/1||Paddy Power|
This is a game that could really test City’s resolve. They have in past seasons found it difficult at Goodison Park, with just one win in their last six visits (D1, L4) – and that 3-2 win here two seasons ago was played in a strange atmosphere, with many home fans happy to see their side lose – to stop Liverpool winning the title.
Indeed, City rarely seem to enjoy the short trip to Merseyside, with just two league wins in 14 journeys down the M62 to either Goodison or Anfield since the arrival their rich Arab owners.
The Toffees have started the season with five goals in two games, while City have managed six. Thus, a high scoring game is expected, especially with Martinez’s side set up for quick counter attacking football – beautifully illustrated by Romelu Lukaku’s second goal against Southampton, which came from a Saints corner.
Given their home record against City we also strongly suggest backing Everton on the Asian Handicap with a one goal start at odds of 4/6 with BetVictor. This way you win if they win or draw and get your money back if they lose by one goal – you only lose if Everton lose by two goals or more.
We also like the look of a 2-2 draw at a stand-out price of 15/1 with BetVictor (12/1 elsewhere). Four of City’s last eight draws have been by that scoreline, as have three of Everton’s last eight home draws.
Finally, Lukaku looked in deadly form last week – his pace, strength, guile and fitness all look top notch, while his finishing remains top quality. He is certainly overpriced at 8/1 with Paddy Power to score first, which looks a cracking each-way bet.