Wimbledon 2015 Tips – Women’s

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Lucie Safarova (ew)Tournament Winner25/1Bet365, Sky Bet
Sabine Lisicki (ew)Tournament Winner20/1Bet365, Ladbrokes, Sky Bet
Belinda Bencic (ew)Tournament Winner125/1Sky Bet
Belinda BencicPlayer to win 1st Quarter16/1Ladbrokes, Coral
Lucie SafarovaPlayer to win 2nd Quarter5/1BetVictor
Barbora Zahlavova StrycovaPlayer to win 2nd Quarter100/1Bet365, Betfred
Angelique KerberPlayer to win 3rd Quarter7/2Paddy Power
Ana KonjuhPlayer to win 4th Quarter19/1Paddy Power

Betting on the Ladies event at Wimbledon is in stark contrast to the men’s. While the Gentleman’s singles has historically been dominated by the top seeds – in part due to the longer format of the matches, the women’s event is played over a standard best of 3 sets, and as such, the top players don’t have the same enviable record.

Indeed, the top two seeds in the tournament have won the title just three times in the past 10 renewals of the event, while its not uncommon to see players ranked well outside the top 10 mixing it in the final and even winning the event. In fact, seven of the finalists over the past decade have ranked outside the top 10!

Serena Williams is the 15/8 favourite with Sky Bet and William Hill to win her sixth Wimbledon title, but the world no. 1 has not featured in either of the last two finals here, losing in the third round last year and the fourth round the year before.

Tips

So, beyond Serena, who should we watch out for this time around at decent odds?

LUCIE SAFAROVAThe first player of appeal is LUCIE SAFAROVA. The world number 6 has been much improved in 2015 and reached the French Open Final of course. She hasn’t played a lot of tennis on grass – just 26 matches in her career, but has proved herself frequently indoors and knows faster courts can suit her game. She reached the semi-finals here in 2014 to end a poor career record at SW19 and we reckon she could be ready to build on that success this time around. At 25/1 she looks a fair each-way bet.

Sabine LisickiAnother outsider we like the look of is SABINE LISICKI. The German boasts a fabulous record on quick courts over the past two years, winning 5-1 against players ranked 10th-50th, and 6-0 against those 50th-100th.

A career 36-13 grass record marks the surface out as her speciality and there was no shame in exiting the AEGON Classic at the semi-final stage last week. She has a strong Wimbledon record – losing in the quarter finals last season to Simona Halep and beaten in the Final in 2013. You have to go back to 2008 to find a year where she was knocked out earlier than the quarters, a mighty fine achievement, and best odds of 20/1 don’t really reflect her credentials.

BELINDA BENCICFinally, we’ll chuck a dart at BELINDA BENCIC to follow up her 2013 Wimbledon Juniors title with a senior win.

The 18-year-old Swiss is already up to 31 in the world and continues to climb up the rankings. Bencic was beaten last season by eventual finalist Halep in the 3rd round and recently finished runner-up to Camile Giorgi in the Hertogenbosch event – only her second senior final. At 125/1 with Sky Bet she looks a very fair price.

The Draw

1st Quarter

In the first quarter the bookmakers have installed Serena Williams as their 4/9 favourite to reach the semi-finals. It’s absolutely fair and right that she’s the favourite or course, but to be so short (her nearest challenger is a 12/1 shot) looks out of shape against her form here over the past couple of years.

Having failed to make the quarter finals in each of the last two years puts enough doubts about her ability to blast everyone away as she did between 2009 and 2012, and despite five tournament titles here, we are willing to look elsewhere.

Belinda Bencic has shortened up in the outright, but we’re willing to push in again now the quarter betting is available and back here to reach the semis at 16/1 – a price we don’t see lasting until Monday after her victory at Eastbourne.

2nd Quarter

In the second part we see Maria Sharapova priced as the 11/8 favourite, but again history isn’t on the side of the favourite. Sharapova made history with her title as a 17-year old, but that was over 10 years ago now and she’s progressed past the fourth round just one since 2007 – quite a run of under achieving.

Instead we’ll try backing Lucie Safarova and Barbora Zahlavova Strycova. The former is well covered above, but at 100/1 Strycova might not seem such an obvious choice.

The Czech World Number 28 has a 29-17 career record on Grass, but also an excellent 11-2 lifetime performance on carpet, which can play in a similar manner. She is a master of the fast surfaces and holds a 2-year 6-0 grass record against players ranked 50-100. A finalist in Birmingham last season, and a quarter finalist at Wimbledon in the same year, she could have done better at Eastbourne this week if she hadn’t been edged out in a final set tie-break by Sara Errani. It will probably be too much for her, but a 100/1 shot she isn’t.

3rd Quarter

In the 3rd section we are already with Lisicki as an outright bet, so we’ll nominate Angelique Kerber for the quarter win. She’s recently won the AEGON Birmingham tournament, beating both Lisicki and Karolina Pliskova, and has a 36-15 career record on grass. She’s already had a semi-final and a quarter-final appearance at Wimbledon and has enjoyed solid form indoors over the past two seasons – boasting a 10-4 record against players ranked 10-50 since 2013.

It’s a tough section with Lisicki, Halep and Wozniacki all with claims, but stand-out odds of 7/2 with Paddy Power are enough to tempt us in.

4th Quarter

Finally, Ana Konjuh is out nod for the bottom section, at a handsome price of 19/1 with Paddy Power. Still just 20, its been a busy couple of seasons for the young Croat, but her best form has come on the quicker surfaces and she looks set for a great grass career. She’s already 17-4 on the surface, and whilst its important to recognise that much of that has been formed from Wimbledon Juniors and some qualifying matches, she has just taken down her first senior title in winning the Nottingham Grass event last week.

She’s allowed herself two weeks rest from that, although she dropped just the single set along the way and beat a decent set of players including Alison Riske and Casey Dellaqua. Already up to 55th in the world, she looks certain to break the top 20 over the next year and she is being under-rated this week.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Lucie Safarova (ew)Tournament Winner25/1Bet365, Sky Bet
Sabine Lisicki (ew)Tournament Winner20/1Bet365, Ladbrokes, Sky Bet
Belinda Bencic (ew)Tournament Winner125/1Sky Bet
Belinda BencicPlayer to win 1st Quarter16/1Ladbrokes, Coral
Lucie SafarovaPlayer to win 2nd Quarter5/1BetVictor
Barbora Zahlavova StrycovaPlayer to win 2nd Quarter100/1Bet365, Betfred
Angelique KerberPlayer to win 3rd Quarter7/2Paddy Power
Ana KonjuhPlayer to win 4th Quarter19/1Paddy Power