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Champions League Final 2016 Betting Preview

BT Sport Europe Saturday 28th May / 7.45pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Atletico MadridDraw No Bet6/5Paddy Power
Under 2.5Total Goals4/7Bet365
0-0Half-Time Score11/2Bet365
After 33 MinutesTime Of First GoalEvensPaddy Power
Fernando Torres (ew)First Goalscorer13/2Bet365

The San Siro will be full of Madrid fans as Real take on Atletico in a repeat of the 2014 Champions League Final in Lisbon, which Real won 4-1 after extra time.

Real are 8/11 favourites with Bet365 to be crowned European Champions for the 11th time, while Atletico are best price 6/5 with Coral ‘to lift the trophy’ this time.

In the 90 minute betting, Real are available at 6/4 with Ladbrokes, with Atletico a very tempting 9/4 with Betfred and the draw at 11/5 with BetVictor.

Atletico have won 4 and lost none of their last 6 La Liga games against Real, while since that final two years ago, Real have won just 1 of 10 Madrid Derby’s (D4, L5).

This season the two sides drew 1-1 at the Vicente Calderon, but Atletico won 1-0 at the Bernabeu and we’re sticking with the side we tipped at 14/1 in December.

Let’s not forget that Atletico knocked out Barca in the quarter-final’s and Bayern Munich in the semi-final’s and have kept 8 clean sheets in 12 games in total.

Thus, we strongly recommend backing Diego Simeone’s men at best odds of 6/5 in the ‘Draw No Bet’ market with Paddy Power – who are also offering a free £10 In-Play bet on the final – if you place £20 of bets pre-match.

10 MEETINGS SINCE THE 2014 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE FINAL
Atletico Madrid Wins – 5
Real Madrid Wins – 1
Draws – 4
Atletico Madrid Goals – 14
Real Madrid Goals – 6

Although there were 5 goals after extra-time in Lisbon, Atletico were leading 1-0 until the 93rd minute and we feel sure that this game will be low scoring.

Of those ten games since, seven have finished with ‘Under 2.5’ goals, so make that eight of the last eleven (73%) in 90 minutes.

Doubts over Cristiano Ronaldo’s participation due to thigh problems mean that the odds of goals could recede even further – so back unders at 4/7 with Bet365.

We also recommend backing 0-0 at half-time with Bet365, who are offering all customers who place a pre-match bet a risk free In-Play bet of the same value.

One other way to play-up this angle is to back the first goal to come after the 33rd minute, which you can get at even-money with Paddy Power.

Paddy Power are also offering new customers enhanced odds of 7/1 on Real to win the final here, or 10/1 for Atletico to win the final here (£10 maximum stake).

Finally, Fernando Torres, who has already has won the Champions League (as a second-half substitute with Chelsea in 2012), appeals at 13/2 to score first.

El Nino won’t be fazed by the big occasion – he also scored for Chelsea in the 2013 Europa League Final, for Spain in both of the 2008 and 2012 European Championship Final’s and was an extra-time sub in the 2010 World Cup Final.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Atletico MadridDraw No Bet6/5Paddy Power
Under 2.5Total Goals4/7Bet365
0-0Half-Time Score11/2Bet365
After 33 MinutesTime Of First GoalEvensPaddy Power
Fernando Torres (ew)First Goalscorer13/2Bet365