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Champions League – Matchday 4 Tips

Arsenal face Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday – we preview this and the other televised Champions League games featuring Premier League sides.

Manchester United v CSKA Moscow

BT Sport Europe Tuesday 3rd November / 7.45pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Anthony Martial (ew)First Goalscorer9/2Bet365
Seydou Doumbia (ew)First Goalscorer10/1Bet365
Under 2.5Total GoalsEvensUnibet
CSKA Moscow (+1)Asian HandicapEvensBet365
Man United 1-0Correct Score13/2Unibet
1-1Correct Score8/1Unibet

This is a game United really need to win, with both sides on 4 points in Group B, behind Wolfsburg on 6 points and just ahead of PSV on 3 points.

The bookies think they will do so – the best price you’ll get is Coral’s 8/13, while the Russians can be backed at best odds of 6/1 and the draw at 10/3, both with Bet365.

The two sides played out a 1-1 draw two weeks ago in Moscow, with Anthony Martial scoring a 65th minute goal to nullify Seydou Doumbia’s 15th minute strike.

It will be interesting to see where Luis van Gaal decides to play Martial – he started on the wing two weeks ago – and if he starts up front we suggest backing him at a huge looking 9/2 with Bet365 to score first.

We tipped Doumbia at 7/1 to score first in Moscow and he duly obliged, scoring his third goal in three Group B games so far. He is 10/1 with Bet365 to do so again.

Since that 1-1 in Moscow, United have drawn three games 0-0 and we can see this being another tight match – back Under 2.5 Goals at Evens with Unibet.

But the best bet looks to be on the Asian Handicap, where you can back the visitors +1 goal at Evens with Bet365 (so you only lose if United win by two or more goals).

United have only won 2 of their last 17 Champions League group home games by more than one goal and CSKA have not been beaten by more than one goal in 2015.

We also recommend backing the 1-0 home win at best odds of 13/2 and another 1-1 at best odds of 8/1 – both with Unibet (money back if a goal is scored in injury time).

Sevilla v Manchester City

BT-Sport-2 Tuesday 3rd November / 7.45pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Over 2.5Total Goals9/13Unibet
Raheem Sterling (ew)First Goalscorer15/2Bet365
Yevhen KonoplyankaAnytime Goalscorer31/10Unibet
Man City 2-1Correct Score19/2Unibet
Man City 3-1Correct Score20/1Unibet

City sneaked past Sevilla 2-1 two weeks ago at the Etihad Stadium, when a last minute Kevin de Bruyne goal broke Spanish hearts

As a result, Sevilla are 3 points behind City in third place in Group D and only a win will be good enough – but they have won their last 10 European home matches.

They can be backed at odds of 21/10 with Coral to make that eleven, while the draw is available at 27/10 with BetVictor and City at 6/4 (generally).

With the hosts needing all three points, we expect an open game – especially given that their last nine home games have all seen at least three goals (including a 2-1 win over Barca last month). Back Over 2.5 Goals at best odds of 9/13 with Unibet.

City will still be without Sergio Aguero and David Silva, so it’s likely that Raheem Sterling will start in a more advanced position – he looks worth backing each-way to score the opening goal at 15/2 with Bet365.

Yevhen Konoplyanka has scored two goals in three Group D games – including against City two weeks ago – and the Ukranian winger looks over-priced at 31/10 with Unibet to score at any time in this game (as short as 2/1 elsewhere).

Finally, while this looks a tough assignment for City, the game may be played to suit with Seville having to win – allowing them to play counter attacking football. Let’s go for a 2-1 City win at 19/2 and a 3-1 City victory at 20/1 – both with Unibet.

Bayern Munich v Arsenal

BT Sport Europe Wednesday 4th November / 7.45pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Bayern Munich (-1.5)Asian Handicap11/10BetVictor
Over 2.5Total Goals11/20Betfair
Bayern Munich 3-1Correct Score21/2BetVictor
Bayern Munich 4-1Correct Score19/1BetVictor
Robert LewandowskiFirst Goalscorer7/2Paddy Power
Thomas MullerFirst Goalscorer41/10Unibet
Olivier Giroud (ew)First Goalscorer10/1Paddy Power

Despite bossing possession at the Emirates two weeks ago, Bayern were beaten 2-0 by Arsenal, who gave themselves a lifeline in Group F, although they are still bottom.

But the odds are against them here – Bayern are 2/5 to win at home and Arsenal can be backed at 7/1 with Bet365, while the draw is available at 9/2 with BetVictor.

The German champions have won every Bundesliga/Champions League home game this season, scoring 29 goals (an average of 4.8 per game) and conceding just three.

With Arsenal travelling with no less than eight first team regulars missing, we feel that a ‘wounded’ Bayern Munich side will look to punish them, so our first tip is to back Bayern giving away 1.5 goals at 11/10 on the Asian Handicap with BetVictor.

We also want to back an Over 2.5 Goal game at 11/20 with Betfair and we suggest having a couple of speculative bets on high scoring home wins. We like the 3-1 to Bayern at 21/2 and also the 4-1 home win at 19/1, both with BetVictor.

As far as First Goalscorer bets you simply have to place Robert Lewandowski in any portfolio of bets – he has not scored for two whole games, but had scored 22 goals in 16 games before that – and he is available at 7/2 with Paddy Power to score first.

But we also want to have a flutter on Thomas Muller at 41/10 with Unibet, plus the in-form Olivier Giroud for Arsenal at huge each-way odds of 10/1 with Paddy Power.

Chelsea v Dynamo Kiev

BT-Sport-2 Wednesday 4th November / 7.45pm

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Over 2.5Total GoalsEvensBet365
Chelsea 2-1Correct Score17/2Unibet
Chelsea 3-1Correct Score15/1Unibet
Ramires (ew)First Goalscorer16/1Bet365
Anriy Yarmolenko (ew)First Goalscorer10/1Paddy Power

This game could help determine whether the ‘Special One’ remains at Stamford Bridge after Chelsea’s worst start to a season in 37 years, but the bookies make the Blues strong favourites to win, with Coral offering the best odds of 3/4.

Dynamo Kiev can be backed at 9/2 with Paddy Power, while the draw is a best price of 29/10 with BetVictor.

Nine of Chelsea’s 11 league games this season have finished with 3 goals or more and so we recommend backing Over 2.5 Goals at Evens with Bet365, plus 2-1 and 3-1 Chelsea wins at best odds of 17/2 and 15/1 respectively with Unibet.

Ramires opened the scoring against Liverpool on Saturday and also scored recently against Newcastle – he looks worth backing each-way at 16/1 with Bet365 to open the scoring (as short as 10/1 elsewhere).

Dynamo Kiev though have goal threats too and we also suggest backing rumoured Chelsea target Anriy Yarmolenko at stand-out odds of 10/1 with Paddy Power.