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Galway Festival 2016 – Day 7 Ramblings

A very solid day on Saturday, as our bet of the day, Westerner Lady, won nicely at 3/1 (4/1 when advised), to avenge the defeat of Sambara way back in 1997. Then Firey Speech went on to win at tasty odds of 11/4, before Cairdiuil, just failed to get up close home, finishing second at 4/1 (8/1 when advised). The summit is in sight for this week-long equine version of Everest – let’s make it to the top folks.

Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle     ATR

A nightmare opening handicap hurdle where our friend, Tony Martin, saddles top weight and favourite Dollar And A Dream. Unlike most of this trainer’s horses, you could actually fancy this horse on form, but you will not find me tipping him here.

I like two at bigger odds, namely MISSISSIPPI RIVER and Stuccodor. Stuccodor is a serious flat horse who has been a serial disappointment over hurdles, having been beaten favourite more times than I remember, including here. I would side with Mississippi River, who at 10/1 looks too big and should be backed each-way.

Mississippi River (ew)2.15 Galway10/1William Hill

Galway Shopping Centre Handicap Hurdle     ATR

A 3 mile handicap hurdle where the favourite is Sea Light, trained by Michael Corleone and you might remember me mentioning this horse earlier in the week.

I suggested he had no form but may be backed regardless, just as he was a few years ago at Leopardstown. As predicted, he was backed from a first show the previous night of 10/1 to 7/4 at the off. He should have won but found traffic problems everywhere and just failed to get there.

He is up 3 furlongs here and these boys will be looking to get their money back. I would, for once, board this bandwagon, as he just looks too good for these. For the horses sake I hope that he wins or that infamous ‘horses head in a bed’ scene could be recreated, and we know whose head it will be.

Sea Light (win)2.45 Galway13/8Bet365, BetVictor, Betfair

Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. ‘Ahonoora’ Handicap     ATR

I like two horses here, both of whom I tipped during the week, when they finished 2nd & 3rd. The horses in question are TOP NOTCH TONTO and DREAM WALKER, both trained by Brian Ellison. A double raid from England – at least they left the army at home this time.

I will give slight preference to the former, as I just feel that the front running top weight, Kelinni, will go a decent clip and set the race up for the fast finishing Tonto. He looks the better bet each-way at 10/1, but don’t ignore Dream Walker.

Top Notch Tonto (ew)3.20 Galway10/1Bet365
Dream Walker (ew)3.20 Galway8/1Bet365, BetVictor, Betfair

At The Races Chase     ATR

The big race of the day here and a very disappointing turnout. The Galway Plate second and fifth are the front two in the market and I’d love to take them both on with a fresh horse but it looks impossible. The Winkler would be the one but the front two would really need to under perform.

On that basis the favourite ALELCHI INOIS looks a cert to beat Clarcam again, as he is 5lb better off at the weights. Chance the Winkler to be second in a forecast.

1. Alelchi Inois 2. The Winkler (straight forecast)3.55 GalwaySPBet365

Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase     ATR

The top weight here and again favourite, at 9/4, is Devils Bride for the Ruby/Willie combination. He ran a cracker here on Wednesday in the Galway Plate, where he finished 4th, but he had a very hard race that day and might be vulnerable here.

The second favourite, MR FIFTYONE, looks a cracking each-way bet to me at 7/1 in places. He gets 7lb from the favourite and has a past win against him also. Let’s roll in with this big time, just like an Olympic golfer would with a Zika excuse.

Mr Fiftyone4.30 Galway7/1Bet365, BetVictor

JPK Fencing Handicap     ATR

A flat handicap over 1m 5f where, as it stands, Mr Weld has the favourite in Tarazani. I say, as it stands, as Tony Martin has the second favourite, Tudor City, which could easily go off favourite.

This horse was smashed up at the festival here last year over a shorter trip and won. I don’t like the horse however and he can win if he likes. I’d suggest the 4/1 won’t last however, if you like to back with a view to laying.

I’ll side with Tracey Collins’ horse ALL BODY AND SOUL. This horse has some very decent form in Dundalk of late and if transferring that to grass, is the each-way pick at a best price of 7/1. Ondamoura is one at bigger odds (14/1 BetVictor) that I would fear, having ran extremely well during the week here.

All Body And Soul (ew)5.00 Galway7/1Bet365, Boylesports

Kenny Galway E.B.F. Fillies Maiden     ATR

A truly awful race, filled with dodgepots. The only horse I can spot who isn’t is the Weld favourite MOUNIRA, as she has never run before. She is extremely well bred and once the 4 legs are intact, I can see her going off a lot shorter than the 10/11.

Mounira5.30 Galway10/11BetVictor

Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro-Am) Flat Race     ATR

The dreaded bumper. I would normally tell you to run a mile but I have to tip up FIRST FIGARO. I backed him in the Cheltenham bumper where he ran extremely well to finish 6th. He since flopped in Punchestown, but he certainly isn’t the first Cheltenham runner to have done that. He has won around this track, which is a huge plus, and at 11/10 we use the bookmakers own money to slap them in the face, as we rob some more from them. We end the meeting on a high here folks.

First Figaro (ew)6.00 Galway11/10Paddy Power