The Arc returns to a redeveloped Longchamp this afternoon and the French racing authorities will be hoping a star name can triumph in this historic renewal.
The chances are that that star will be Enable as she looks to have a major opportunity to register back to back wins in the race.
The forecast rain shouldn’t worry her too much and she has a great draw in stall six. She also comes here fresher than most of her rivals as injury kept her off the track until her recent impressive comeback win at Kempton. She is the best middle distance horse in training and can prove it again this afternoon.
The only problem is her price – with 19 runners, some luck in running will be needed, so from a punting perspective it may be worth hunting out some better value, especially with some bookies paying out on extra places for each way thieves.
The other obvious one is another filly, Sea Of Class, who has improved rapidly as the season has progressed. This is another step up for her and the draw hasn’t been as kind to her connections. She has also looked a fast ground filly in her races so far, so any rain might hamper her chances.
As a result, better value surely lies with the bomb proof KEW GARDENS. He has had a lot of tough races, but like so many of Aiden O’Brien’s middle distance horses he just seems to mature as the campaign goes on and he won a very good renewal of the St Leger last month.
That proved again that he stays further than this mile and a half trip, so connections will be hoping for an end to end gallop and that he can get a clear run in the straight to help his stamina kick in late home. He has a few stablemates in the line up who might be tasked with ensuring a strong pace.
The locals will be pinning their hopes on horses like Waldgeist, Cloth Of Stars and Talismanic for Arc king Andre Fabre, but for those looking to back something at a big price we’d suggest another French trained colt, PATASCOY. He has some solid form in the book and will clearly need to improve massively to take a hand here. However, this is his first try at the trip and recent runs have certainly suggested that he could relish it. He’s got a good draw and is lightly raced enough to make you think his best is yet to come.
The same is true of the three year old filly, MAGICAL. She was thought of as an Oaks candidate early in the season, but suffered a setback. She comes here a fresh horse as a result and her pedigree strongly suggests she’s been crying out for the trip.
|Kew Gardens (ew)||3.05 Longchamp||10/1||Betfair|
|Patascoy (ew)||3.05 Longchamp||50/1||Bet365|
|Magical (ew)||3.05 Longchamp||50/1||Betfair|
|All odds quoted are subject to change|