Saturday is the final day of the Punchestown Festival 2016, where we have tipped eight winners this week at odds of 28/1, 22/1, 12/1, 11/1, 6/1, 9/2, 7/4 and 5/4.
Madra Irish Dog Foods Handicap Chase
The first big race today is a staying handicap chase at 3.10pm, and nobody has fared better in this type of race this season than Mouse Morris, who has landed both the Irish and Grand Nationals.
FOLSOM BLUE was running a good race in the Scottish version too a few weeks back before falling four out and he looks to have a great chance of gaining compensation here in a less high class affair.
There are plenty of dangers including Fletchers Flyer and SIZING COAL. Slight preference is for the latter, who has looked a young stayer to follow on a few occasions. He has run good and bad races in equal turn recently, but perhaps he wants the better ground he will encounter here.
Tulsa Jack and Raz De Maree are two at bigger prices to note.
|Folsom Blue (ew)||3.10 Punchestown||7/1||Paddy Power|
|Sizing Coal (ew)||3.10 Punchestown||12/1||Sky Bet|
E.B.F. Mares Champion Hurdle
A Grade 1 for mares follows and with Vroum Vroum Mag haven beaten the boys yesterday Willie Mullins is instead represented here by Limini, who failed to pull off the same trick at Aintree last time out. She is a strong favourite back amongst her own sex today, but has to give weight to the promising SLOWMOTION, who might represent better value as a result.
|Slowmotion (win)||3.50 Punchestown||9/4||Betfair|
A filly should take the next race too as there haven’t been many more impressive winners all season than Apple’s Jade, but as a result she is a very short price, so it makes more sense form a punting perspective to concentrate on the next two races instead.
Palmerstown House Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase
First up is another competitive handicap chase, this time over 3m 1f. The improvement in the ground could bring about a revival in HEANEY, who ran well in a number of good staying handicaps last season. The form of his yard is a worry, but he is worth chancing given his price.
If he copes with the ground, the big danger could be the unexposed KAYF SUPREME on what looks to have the potential to be a big day for his trainer, John Dreaper.
|Heaney (ew)||5.00 Punchestown||20/1||Paddy Power|
|Kayf Supreme (ew)||5.00 Punchestown||6/1||Bet365, Paddy Power|
Coral Handicap Hurdle
The best bet of the afternoon could prove to be DESOTO COUNTY, who should relish the step up in trip in the 2m 4f handicap hurdle at 5.35pm. He also has underfoot conditions in his favour and just about Ireland’s best young claimer on board.
Plenty of others can be fancied in such a big field.
We can’t resist an interest in THE ROMFORD PELE, who ran on so encouragingly at the death when we tipped him in the Coral Cup recently. Hopefully, an unseat in the Grand National since won’t have dented his confidence.
For the third selection it was a toss up between DAMUT and Uncle Danny, with us finally coming down in favour of the former. He has been hugely progressive this season and ran better than the result suggests when upped in class last time out.
|Desoto County (ew)||5.35 Punchestown||8/1||Bet365, Paddy Power|
|The Romford Pele (ew)||5.35 Punchestown||28/1||Bet365|
|Damut (ew)||5.35 Punchestown||40/1||BetVictor, William Hill|
Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes
Finally, Newmarket stages the day’s first Classic, the 2,000 Guineas, and with his yard having made a flying start to the flat season, we think GALILEO GOLD could represent the each way value.
MARCEL is also worth an interest as his win in the Racing Post Trophy has worked out really well.
|Galileo Gold (ew)||3.45 Newmarket||14/1||Bet365, Paddy Power|
|Marcel (ew)||3.45 Newmarket||10/1||Bet365, Paddy Power|