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Saturday Horse Racing Tips

The action on ITV starts early today due to the beginning of the round of 16 at the World Cup and the feature race on terrestrial TV is the Northumberland Plate.

Northumberland Plate Handicap     

The race is now run on Newcastle’s all weather track and last year’s winner, High Power, heads the weights as he goes in search of back to back wins.

Of more interest to us though, is the runner up from 12 months ago, NATURAL SCENERY, who has a decent weight pull with High Power here. Her form figures on the surface are 1112 and she has surely had this race as her target for some time, so a disappointing run last time out in Dubai can probably be ignored.

PRINCE OF ARRAN has also been globetrotting on recent starts and he was third in a Group 2 at Belmont last time out. He’s a horse we’ve tipped at big odds a couple of times in the past and we remain convinced he has a decent prize in him. He is due to go up 2lbs in the handicap on future starts and has a decent 3lbs claimer on board today as well.

If he’s over his Royal Ascot exertions then Sir Chauvelin must have a big chance, but he’s yet to prove he really stays this trip on the flat, so Amazing Red could be the biggest danger.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Natural Scenery (ew)2.05 Newcastle10/1Bet365
Prince Of Arran (ew)2.05 Newcastle22/1William Hill

All odds quoted are subject to change

Northumberland Vase Handicap      

The Consolation Race precedes the big event and DAVY’S DILEMMA looks to have a big chance here. He’s lightly raced and been crying out for this step up in trip so everything looks set for a career best effort.  He’s yard is in good form too.

The other one of the fancied runners that’s worth an interest is DANNYDAY.

We tipped him up in the Ascot Stakes last time out, but he didn’t seem to stay the 2m 4f trip. He’s worth another chance given that he was impressive when winning this race two years ago off 4lbs lower and it is interesting that Sir Michael Stoute brings him out again so quickly.

Of the outsiders, don’t write off COSMELLI, who ran arguably his best start in this country to date when a close up 8th in the Plate itself last season.

The dark horse in the race is the top weight, Financial Conduct, who makes his first start for David Simcock. He can only just have missed out on making the cut for the main event and if he stays he’ll be a major threat.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Davy’s Dilemma (ew)1.30 Newcastle6/1Bet365
Dannyday (ew)1.30 Newcastle10/1Ladbrokes
Cosmelli (ew)1.30 Newcastle50/1William Hill

All odds quoted are subject to change

Chipchase Stakes      

There’s a Group 3 over 6f ahead of the staying contests and we think AEOLUS can bounce back to form here for Ed Walker. He was fourth in the race last year and looked better than ever when winning on his seasonal re-appearance. He sweated up when only 13th of 15 last time out, but that run can hopefully be forgiven.

TOP SCORE is the big danger as he was in fine form at Meydan over the spring. His form behind Jungle Cat and Ertijaal at this trip last time out reads particularly well and he ran nicely when fourth at Kempton when last seen on the all-weather in 2017.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Aeolus (ew)12.55 Newcastle14/1Bet365
Top Score (ew)12.55 Newcastle8/1BetVictor

All odds quoted are subject to change

Criterion Stakes     

There is also televised action from Newmarket, where the best bet looks to be SIR DANEALOT in the Criterion Stakes at 1.45pm. We are massive David Elsworth fans and this horse wasn’t beaten far in the Diamond Jubilee last time out.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Sir Danealot (win)1.45 Newmarket7/2Bet365

All odds quoted are subject to change

Irish Derby

Finally, it is Irish Derby day over at the Curragh, where all eyes will be on Saxon Warrior and his bid to redeem his reputation after a slightly disappointing fourth in the Epsom showdown.

He’s not a price that appeals to us, so we are going to take him on with two of his stablemates.

First up is our old nemesis, DELANO ROOSEVELT.

We said at Royal Ascot that we were giving him one last chance in the King Edward, but he ran well enough that day to suggest he is well over-priced here as an each way option. Many of Aiden O’Brien’s three year old thrive as the season goes on and we think this horse may start to show his full potential in the second half of the season. This quicker ground could be key to him

The same is true of THE PENTAGON.

He was well beaten at Epsom, but probably hated the ground that day and has since been given time to recover. Previously, he had run some good races when finishing not far behind a number of these including when beaten just less than 3 lengths by Saxon Warrior in the Racing Post Trophy.

RECOMMENDED BETSMARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Delano Roosevelt (ew)5.15 Curragh16/1Ladbrokes
The Pentagon (ew)5.15 Curragh22/1Bet365

All odds quoted are subject to change