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Weekend Premier League Tips

There are four televised Premier League games this weekend – below are our tips.

Southampton v Tottenham

bt-sport1 Saturday 25th April / 12.45pm

Southampton11/10Paddy Power, Ladbrokes

Sixth meets seventh here involving two sides who were both chasing a Champions League position not long along. But both Southampton and Spurs have suffered an identical mediocre run of form in recent weeks – two wins, two defeats and a draw, and it may be that their best football is behind them this season.

Saints have been particularly patchy of late – they lost at Stoke last week despite taking the lead, while previous defeats at Everton and at West Brom tell the story – their away form is looking shaky. But at home, they have only lost four games all season (three of those were to Man City, Man Utd and Liverpool), conceding just 10 goals in 17 games, so this looks tough for Tottenham. Paddy Power and Ladbrokes may have taken a risk going best price 11/10 on Saints here and we suggest backing them to take all three points.

Southampton have only allowed a paltry 93 shots on target against them all season, and we can see this game being a low scoring affair – 22 of Saints 33 games this season have seen less than 3 goals, the most number of ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ games of any side in the league  – take Bet365’s or Betfred’s 4/5 on another one here.

Southampton1X211/10Paddy Power, Ladbrokes
Under 2.5Total Goals4/5Bet365, Betfred

Manchester City v Aston Villa

SkySports1 Saturday 25th April / 5.30pm

Manchester City2/7Paddy Power, Ladbrokes
Aston Villa12/1Titanbet

The good news for Villa fans is that they are in the FA Cup Final and look like they will avoid relegation. The bad news here is that they face a club who have won more games (20) and scored more goals (65) against them in the Premier League, than they have done against any other side.

But City are too short to back at 2/7 given their current form (they have lost 6 of their last 9 games in all competitions) and the best way to play the markets here may be to back ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ at 1/2 with Bet365, with a saver on a 2-0 home win, as we can see the home scoring at least two or three on their own.

Five of the last six occasions these sides have met in the league, Villa have failed to score (two 1-0’s a 2-0, 4-0 and 5-0) and we also suggest backing City to ‘win to nil’ at 11/10 with Paddy Power. Despite their recent troubles, City have won their last four league games at the Etihad 2-0 (West Ham), 3-0 (West Brom), 2-0 (Leicester) and 5-0 (Newcastle), plus Villa will surely be a little leg weary after their Wembley exploits.

Villa have only managed to score six second half goals this season and we strongly suggest backing City to win both halves at 6/4 with Stan James, while a bet on Sergio Aguero to score at any time at stand-out odds of 8/11 with Betfred is appealing.

Over 2.5Total Goals1/2Bet365
Manchester City 2-0Correct Score6/1Bet365
Manchester CityTo Win To Nil11/10Paddy Power
Manchester CityTo Win Both Halves6/4Stan James
Sergio AgueroAnytime Goalscorer8/11Betfred

Everton v Manchester United

SkySports1 Sunday 26th April / 1.30pm

Manchester United6/5Paddy Power, Sky Bet, William Hill, Betfred

The Toffees may be a touch of value here at 11/4 with BetVictor. United, despite having gone on a good run, have only managed to win three of their last nine away games (D4, L2). Meanwhile, Everton are unbeaten in their last five (W4, D1).

Three wins and a draw from their last five home games against United shows that Everton have been out-performing their odds for this fixture in recent seasons and backing them on the Asian Handicap market with a 0.5 goal start at 4/5 and/or the Draw No bet market at 6/4 (both with BetVictor) is our suggestion.

This United side do not score too many goals on their travels (19 in 16 games this season), while they don’t concede too many either (18 is the second lowest total in the league), and we can see this being a low scoring affair. Back ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ at 8/11 with Ladbrokes, while a bet on both teams winning 1-0 with Betfred is also recommended, as that firm will refund stakes on all televised games that finish 1-1.

Everton (+0.5)Asian Handicap4/5BetVictor
EvertonDraw No Bet6/4BetVictor
Under 2.5Total Goals8/11Ladbrokes
Everton 1-0Correct Score9/1Betfred
Manchester United 1-0Correct Score13/2Betfred

Arsenal v Chelsea

SkySports1 Sunday 26th April / 4pm

Arsenal29/20Paddy Power, William Hill
Chelsea23/10Bet365, Titanbet

Second take on top here in an intriguing battle that the Gunners simply have to win to have any chance of winning the Premier League title this season, slim though the chance will be even with a victory here (they are currently 40/1 with Paddy Power).

Arsenal have been excellent at home this season, losing just one of their 15 games at the Emirates Stadium, while Chelsea have the best away form in the division having won 10 of their 16 games away from Stamford Bridge, losing just twice.

But it’s Arsenal who come into the game in marginally the better form, and we feel that the Paddy Power and William Hill offer of 6/4 on them winning here may be a decent bet – especially given Chelsea’s lack of fire power at present.

Diego Costa is out, Loic Remy looks a little injured, while Didier Drogba is a shadow of his former self, and it’s Eden Hazard who has been scoring for the Blues of late – five in his last seven appearances. Take Bet365’s odds of 15/2 on him to score first each-way (1/3 odds for the ‘place’ in this market – if your player scores at any time).

But the main bet must be to back Olivier Giroud to score first (each way) at 11/2 with Paddy Power – the Frenchman has scored 10 goals in his last 12 matches.

Arsenal1X26/4Paddy Power, William Hill
Eden Hazard (ew)First Goalscorer15/2Bet365
Olivier Giroud (ew)First Goalscorer11/2Paddy Power